Stock Analysis

Institutional investors may adopt severe steps after DFDS A/S' (CPH:DFDS) latest 10% drop adds to a year losses

CPSE:DFDS
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Key Insights

  • Significantly high institutional ownership implies DFDS' stock price is sensitive to their trading actions
  • 51% of the business is held by the top 4 shareholders
  • Using data from analyst forecasts alongside ownership research, one can better assess the future performance of a company

Every investor in DFDS A/S (CPH:DFDS) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. With 63% stake, institutions possess the maximum shares in the company. That is, the group stands to benefit the most if the stock rises (or lose the most if there is a downturn).

And institutional investors endured the highest losses after the company's share price fell by 10% last week. The recent loss, which adds to a one-year loss of 25% for stockholders, may not sit well with this group of investors. Often called “market movers", institutions wield significant power in influencing the price dynamics of any stock. As a result, if the downtrend continues, institutions may face pressures to sell DFDS, which might have negative implications on individual investors.

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of DFDS.

View our latest analysis for DFDS

ownership-breakdown
CPSE:DFDS Ownership Breakdown July 25th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About DFDS?

Many institutions measure their performance against an index that approximates the local market. So they usually pay more attention to companies that are included in major indices.

We can see that DFDS does have institutional investors; and they hold a good portion of the company's stock. This can indicate that the company has a certain degree of credibility in the investment community. However, it is best to be wary of relying on the supposed validation that comes with institutional investors. They too, get it wrong sometimes. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see DFDS' historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
CPSE:DFDS Earnings and Revenue Growth July 25th 2024

Investors should note that institutions actually own more than half the company, so they can collectively wield significant power. DFDS is not owned by hedge funds. Our data shows that JL Foundation, Endowment Arm is the largest shareholder with 44% of shares outstanding. In comparison, the second and third largest shareholders hold about 2.3% and 2.2% of the stock.

Our research also brought to light the fact that roughly 51% of the company is controlled by the top 4 shareholders suggesting that these owners wield significant influence on the business.

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. Quite a few analysts cover the stock, so you could look into forecast growth quite easily.

Insider Ownership Of DFDS

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or the CEO.

Most consider insider ownership a positive because it can indicate the board is well aligned with other shareholders. However, on some occasions too much power is concentrated within this group.

Our data suggests that insiders own under 1% of DFDS A/S in their own names. Keep in mind that it's a big company, and the insiders own kr.29m worth of shares. The absolute value might be more important than the proportional share. It is always good to see at least some insider ownership, but it might be worth checking if those insiders have been selling.

General Public Ownership

The general public, who are usually individual investors, hold a 37% stake in DFDS. This size of ownership, while considerable, may not be enough to change company policy if the decision is not in sync with other large shareholders.

Next Steps:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand DFDS better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks for example - DFDS has 3 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

If you would prefer discover what analysts are predicting in terms of future growth, do not miss this free report on analyst forecasts.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.