Stock Analysis

Trifork Holding AG's (CPH:TRIFOR) Shares Leap 29% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

CPSE:TRIFOR
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The Trifork Holding AG (CPH:TRIFOR) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 29%. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 13% over that time.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Trifork Holding's P/S ratio of 1.7x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the IT industry in Denmark is also close to 2.1x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

See our latest analysis for Trifork Holding

ps-multiple-vs-industry
CPSE:TRIFOR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 27th 2024

What Does Trifork Holding's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Trifork Holding has been doing relatively well. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Trifork Holding will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Trifork Holding?

Trifork Holding's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 14% gain to the company's revenues. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 88% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 12% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 5.7% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Trifork Holding's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Final Word

Trifork Holding's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Looking at Trifork Holding's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Trifork Holding that you need to take into consideration.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Trifork Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.