Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Copenhagen Capital (CPH:CPHCAP ST) Is Using Debt Extensively

CPSE:CPHCAP ST
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Copenhagen Capital A/S (CPH:CPHCAP ST) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Copenhagen Capital

What Is Copenhagen Capital's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Copenhagen Capital had kr.464.8m in debt in June 2023; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has kr.14.4m in cash leading to net debt of about kr.450.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
CPSE:CPHCAP ST Debt to Equity History November 8th 2023

How Strong Is Copenhagen Capital's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Copenhagen Capital had liabilities of kr.50.6m due within 12 months and liabilities of kr.543.9m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of kr.14.4m as well as receivables valued at kr.454.0k due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling kr.579.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the kr.247.6m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Copenhagen Capital would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Copenhagen Capital has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 15.0 which suggests a meaningful debt load. However, its interest coverage of 2.6 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. However, one redeeming factor is that Copenhagen Capital grew its EBIT at 13% over the last 12 months, boosting its ability to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Copenhagen Capital's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Copenhagen Capital produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 73% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

On the face of it, Copenhagen Capital's net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Copenhagen Capital's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Copenhagen Capital (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.