Is ALK-Abelló (CPH:ALK B) A Risky Investment?

Simply Wall St
December 29, 2021
Source: Shutterstock

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that ALK-Abelló A/S (CPH:ALK B) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for ALK-Abelló

How Much Debt Does ALK-Abelló Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that ALK-Abelló had debt of kr.542.0m at the end of September 2021, a reduction from kr.709.0m over a year. However, it also had kr.215.0m in cash, and so its net debt is kr.327.0m.

CPSE:ALK B Debt to Equity History December 29th 2021

A Look At ALK-Abelló's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, ALK-Abelló had liabilities of kr.1.43b due within 12 months, and liabilities of kr.979.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of kr.215.0m as well as receivables valued at kr.805.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by kr.1.38b.

Given ALK-Abelló has a market capitalization of kr.37.8b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. But either way, ALK-Abelló has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

ALK-Abelló has a low debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.83. But the really cool thing is that it actually managed to receive more interest than it paid, over the last year. So it's fair to say it can handle debt like a hotshot teppanyaki chef handles cooking. In addition to that, we're happy to report that ALK-Abelló has boosted its EBIT by 52%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if ALK-Abelló can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last two years, ALK-Abelló generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 90% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Our View

Happily, ALK-Abelló's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is also very heartening. It looks ALK-Abelló has no trouble standing on its own two feet, and it has no reason to fear its lenders. To our minds it has a healthy happy balance sheet. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in ALK-Abelló, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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