Stock Analysis

Novozymes (CPH:NZYM B) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively

CPSE:NSIS B
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What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Having said that, while the ROCE is currently high for Novozymes (CPH:NZYM B), we aren't jumping out of our chairs because returns are decreasing.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Novozymes, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.21 = kr.4.5b ÷ (kr.28b - kr.7.0b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

Thus, Novozymes has an ROCE of 21%. In absolute terms that's a great return and it's even better than the Chemicals industry average of 13%.

View our latest analysis for Novozymes

roce
CPSE:NZYM B Return on Capital Employed April 7th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Novozymes compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Novozymes here for free.

SWOT Analysis for Novozymes

Strength
  • Earnings growth over the past year exceeded its 5-year average.
  • Debt is not viewed as a risk.
Weakness
  • Earnings growth over the past year underperformed the Chemicals industry.
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Chemicals market.
  • Expensive based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
Opportunity
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow for the next 3 years.
  • Significant insider buying over the past 3 months.
Threat
  • Dividends are not covered by cash flow.
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow slower than the Danish market.

What Can We Tell From Novozymes' ROCE Trend?

In terms of Novozymes' historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. To be more specific, while the ROCE is still high, it's fallen from 30% where it was five years ago. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.

The Bottom Line

In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Novozymes is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. These trends are starting to be recognized by investors since the stock has delivered a 18% gain to shareholders who've held over the last five years. So this stock may still be an appealing investment opportunity, if other fundamentals prove to be sound.

One more thing, we've spotted 1 warning sign facing Novozymes that you might find interesting.

If you'd like to see other companies earning high returns, check out our free list of companies earning high returns with solid balance sheets here.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.