Stock Analysis

Topdanmark (CPH:TOP) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

CPSE:TOP
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Topdanmark A/S' (CPH:TOP) dividend will be increasing to kr.34.50 on 29th of March. This takes the dividend yield from 9.0% to 9.0%, which shareholders will be pleased with.

See our latest analysis for Topdanmark

Topdanmark Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning

If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Before making this announcement, the company's dividend was higher than its profits, and made up 77% of cash flows. This indicates that the company could be more focused on returning cash to shareholders than reinvesting to grow the business.

EPS is set to fall by 25.9% over the next 12 months. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could reach 171%, which could put the dividend under pressure if earnings don't start to improve.

historic-dividend
CPSE:TOP Historic Dividend February 26th 2022

Topdanmark's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Looking back, the company hasn't been paying the most consistent dividend, but with such a short dividend history it could be too early to draw solid conclusions. Since 2018, the dividend has gone from kr.19.00 to kr.34.50. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 16% per annum over that time. Topdanmark has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.

There Isn't Much Room To Grow The Dividend

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Topdanmark has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 7.7% per annum. While EPS is growing at a decent rate, but future growth could be limited by the amount of earnings being paid out to shareholders.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. The track record isn't great, and the payments are a bit high to be considered sustainable. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For instance, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Topdanmark that investors should take into consideration. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.