Stock Analysis

ViroGates (CPH:VIRO) Is In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans

CPSE:VIRO
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There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But the harsh reality is that very many loss making companies burn through all their cash and go bankrupt.

So should ViroGates (CPH:VIRO) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

Check out our latest analysis for ViroGates

Does ViroGates Have A Long Cash Runway?

A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. In September 2022, ViroGates had kr.11m in cash, and was debt-free. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through kr.16m. So it had a cash runway of approximately 9 months from September 2022. To be frank, this kind of short runway puts us on edge, as it indicates the company must reduce its cash burn significantly, or else raise cash imminently. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
CPSE:VIRO Debt to Equity History March 6th 2023

How Well Is ViroGates Growing?

We reckon the fact that ViroGates managed to shrink its cash burn by 33% over the last year is rather encouraging. On top of that, operating revenue was up 42%, making for a heartening combination It seems to be growing nicely. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. You can take a look at how ViroGates is growing revenue over time by checking this visualization of past revenue growth.

Can ViroGates Raise More Cash Easily?

ViroGates seems to be in a fairly good position, in terms of cash burn, but we still think it's worthwhile considering how easily it could raise more money if it wanted to. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Since it has a market capitalisation of kr.176m, ViroGates' kr.16m in cash burn equates to about 8.9% of its market value. Given that is a rather small percentage, it would probably be really easy for the company to fund another year's growth by issuing some new shares to investors, or even by taking out a loan.

So, Should We Worry About ViroGates' Cash Burn?

Even though its cash runway makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought ViroGates' revenue growth was relatively promising. While we're the kind of investors who are always a bit concerned about the risks involved with cash burning companies, the metrics we have discussed in this article leave us relatively comfortable about ViroGates' situation. Taking a deeper dive, we've spotted 6 warning signs for ViroGates you should be aware of, and 3 of them make us uncomfortable.

If you would prefer to check out another company with better fundamentals, then do not miss this free list of interesting companies, that have HIGH return on equity and low debt or this list of stocks which are all forecast to grow.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.