Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Ambu A/S (CPH:AMBU B) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Ambu
What Is Ambu's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Ambu had debt of kr.503.0m at the end of June 2021, a reduction from kr.1.18b over a year. However, it also had kr.126.0m in cash, and so its net debt is kr.377.0m.
How Strong Is Ambu's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Ambu had liabilities of kr.1.35b due within 12 months and liabilities of kr.314.0m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of kr.126.0m and kr.656.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling kr.881.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Having regard to Ambu's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the kr.46.3b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. But either way, Ambu has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Ambu's net debt is only 0.78 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 13.2 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. But the bad news is that Ambu has seen its EBIT plunge 16% in the last twelve months. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Ambu can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Ambu created free cash flow amounting to 11% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.
Our View
When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for Ambu was the fact that it seems able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT confidently. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. In particular, EBIT growth rate gives us cold feet. We would also note that Medical Equipment industry companies like Ambu commonly do use debt without problems. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Ambu's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Ambu is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About CPSE:AMBU B
Ambu
A medical technology company, develops, produces, and sells medical devices to hospitals, clinics, and rescue services worldwide.
Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.
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