Stock Analysis

Here's Why FLSmidth (CPH:FLS) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

CPSE:FLS
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, FLSmidth & Co. A/S (CPH:FLS) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for FLSmidth

What Is FLSmidth's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that FLSmidth had debt of kr.2.48b at the end of September 2023, a reduction from kr.2.92b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of kr.1.51b, its net debt is less, at about kr.973.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
CPSE:FLS Debt to Equity History January 29th 2024

A Look At FLSmidth's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that FLSmidth had liabilities of kr.13.5b due within a year, and liabilities of kr.4.61b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of kr.1.51b as well as receivables valued at kr.10.2b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by kr.6.37b.

FLSmidth has a market capitalization of kr.15.2b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

FLSmidth has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.65. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 12.4 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Also good is that FLSmidth grew its EBIT at 18% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if FLSmidth can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, FLSmidth recorded free cash flow of 50% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Happily, FLSmidth's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its net debt to EBITDA also supports that impression! Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that FLSmidth can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for FLSmidth you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About CPSE:FLS

FLSmidth

FLSmidth & Co. A/S provides flowsheet technology and service solutions for the mining and cement industries in North America, South America, Europe, North and Sub-Saharan Africa, the Middle East, Central and South Asia, the Asia Pacific, and Australia.

Flawless balance sheet with moderate growth potential.