TransAlta Renewables Valuation

Is 0TA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0TA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0TA (€8.46) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€38.16)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0TA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0TA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

0TA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue8.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA17.8x
PEG Ratio0.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0TA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0TA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average62.9x
ECV Encavis
146.6x42.6%€2.8b
HRPK 7C Solarparken
73.7x54.5%€184.3m
ABO clearvise
18.3x-57.4%€136.4m
MVV1 MVV Energie
12.9xn/a€2.1b
0TA TransAlta Renewables
42.2x46.4%€3.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0TA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.2x) compared to the peer average (17.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0TA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Renewable Energy Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a22.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a22.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0TA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.2x) compared to the European Renewable Energy industry average (16.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0TA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0TA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio42.2x
Fair PE Ratio60x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0TA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (60x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0TA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€9.08
0%
1.6%€9.33€8.98n/a6
Sep ’25n/a
€9.08
0%
1.6%€9.33€8.98n/a6
Aug ’25n/a
€9.08
0%
1.6%€9.33€8.98n/a6
Jul ’25n/a
€9.08
0%
1.6%€9.33€8.98n/a6
Jun ’25n/a
€9.08
0%
1.6%€9.33€8.98n/a6
May ’25n/a
€9.08
0%
1.6%€9.33€8.98n/a6
Apr ’25n/a
€9.08
0%
1.6%€9.33€8.98n/a6
Mar ’25n/a
€9.08
0%
1.6%€9.33€8.98n/a6
Feb ’25n/a
€9.08
0%
1.6%€9.33€8.98n/a6
Jan ’25n/a
€9.08
0%
1.6%€9.33€8.98n/a6
Dec ’24n/a
€9.08
0%
1.6%€9.33€8.98n/a6
Nov ’24n/a
€9.08
0%
1.6%€9.33€8.98n/a6
Oct ’24€8.54
€9.08
+6.4%
1.4%€9.36€9.02n/a9
Sep ’24€8.97
€8.86
-1.1%
1.3%€9.14€8.81n/a10
Aug ’24€9.16
€8.85
-3.4%
2.4%€8.93€8.24n/a9
Jul ’24€7.84
€9.14
+16.6%
10.0%€10.66€7.22n/a12
Jun ’24€8.52
€9.14
+7.3%
10.0%€10.66€7.22n/a12
May ’24€8.41
€8.90
+5.9%
10.6%€10.30€6.97n/a13
Apr ’24€8.42
€9.21
+9.4%
10.0%€10.68€7.58n/a13
Mar ’24€7.87
€9.39
+19.3%
10.0%€10.80€7.66n/a13
Feb ’24€8.31
€9.39
+13.1%
10.8%€11.30€7.54n/a13
Jan ’24€7.90
€9.95
+26.0%
13.8%€12.11€7.61n/a13
Dec ’23€10.07
€11.97
+18.9%
7.0%€13.03€9.77n/a13
Nov ’23€10.70
€12.60
+17.7%
8.6%€14.75€9.96n/a13
Oct ’23€10.77
€13.71
+27.3%
8.5%€15.01€10.13€8.5413
Sep ’23€13.17
€14.25
+8.2%
8.2%€15.47€10.44€8.9713

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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