Stock Analysis

E.ON (ETR:EOAN) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

XTRA:EOAN
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that E.ON SE (ETR:EOAN) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for E.ON

What Is E.ON's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 E.ON had debt of €37.6b, up from €34.6b in one year. However, it also had €5.26b in cash, and so its net debt is €32.3b.

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XTRA:EOAN Debt to Equity History October 14th 2024

A Look At E.ON's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that E.ON had liabilities of €31.2b falling due within a year, and liabilities of €55.8b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €5.26b in cash and €19.8b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €62.0b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the €33.8b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, E.ON would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

E.ON's debt is 4.2 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 4.2 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. However, the silver lining was that E.ON achieved a positive EBIT of €4.7b in the last twelve months, an improvement on the prior year's loss. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if E.ON can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Considering the last year, E.ON actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

We'd go so far as to say E.ON's level of total liabilities was disappointing. But at least its EBIT growth rate is not so bad. We should also note that Integrated Utilities industry companies like E.ON commonly do use debt without problems. Overall, it seems to us that E.ON's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example E.ON has 3 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.