West Japan Railway Company

DB:WEJ Stock Report

Market Cap: €7.6b

West Japan Railway Valuation

Is WEJ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WEJ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: WEJ (€17) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€10.03)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WEJ is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WEJ?

Key metric: As WEJ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for WEJ. This is calculated by dividing WEJ's market cap by their current earnings.
What is WEJ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.3x
EarningsJP¥101.33b
Market CapJP¥1.24t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WEJ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WEJ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.5x
SIX2 Sixt
15.1x16.3%€3.3b
LHA Deutsche Lufthansa
6.6x14.8%€7.4b
FRA Fraport
11.1x2.2%€5.1b
9042 Hankyu Hanshin Holdings
13.1x4.1%JP¥971.1b
WEJ West Japan Railway
12.3x3.9%€1.2t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WEJ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x) compared to the peer average (11.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WEJ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Transportation Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
WEJ 12.3xIndustry Avg. 12.0xNo. of Companies5PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WEJ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x) compared to the European Transportation industry average (12.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WEJ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WEJ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.3x
Fair PE Ratio13.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: WEJ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WEJ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€17.00
€20.98
+23.4%
8.4%€24.99€17.49n/a10
Dec ’25€17.60
€20.53
+16.7%
8.8%€24.37€17.06n/a9
Nov ’25€15.90
€20.26
+27.4%
9.0%€24.13€16.89n/a9
Oct ’25€16.90
€21.01
+24.3%
9.2%€24.90€17.43n/a9
Sep ’25€17.10
€20.87
+22.1%
9.2%€24.73€17.31n/a9
Aug ’25€17.50
€21.10
+20.6%
9.3%€24.75€17.33n/a9
Jul ’25€16.80
€20.32
+20.9%
9.3%€23.70€16.59n/a9
Jun ’25€18.30
€20.04
+9.5%
9.3%€23.49€16.45n/a9
May ’25€17.40
€19.75
+13.5%
12.2%€23.75€15.44n/a9
Apr ’25€19.10
€20.63
+8.0%
12.7%€24.79€16.11n/a8
Mar ’25€19.10
€20.24
+6.0%
12.9%€24.69€16.05n/a8
Feb ’25€19.90
€20.22
+1.6%
12.3%€24.21€15.72n/a9
Jan ’25€18.70
€19.53
+4.4%
12.8%€23.60€15.33n/a10
Dec ’24€17.90
€19.53
+9.1%
12.8%€23.60€15.33€17.6010
Nov ’24€18.80
€20.98
+11.6%
11.8%€24.71€15.73€15.9010
Oct ’24€19.40
€20.59
+6.2%
11.7%€24.45€15.56€16.9010
Sep ’24€20.00
€20.24
+1.2%
11.5%€22.86€15.56€17.1010
Aug ’24€18.30
€20.11
+9.9%
11.6%€23.18€15.56€17.5010
Jul ’24€18.60
€20.40
+9.7%
12.0%€23.54€15.48€16.8010
Jun ’24€19.10
€20.73
+8.5%
12.4%€24.01€16.01€18.309
May ’24€19.40
€20.69
+6.7%
12.5%€25.00€16.66€17.409
Apr ’24€18.40
€20.69
+12.5%
12.5%€25.00€16.66€19.109
Mar ’24€17.70
€20.56
+16.2%
12.3%€24.91€16.60€19.1010
Feb ’24€18.10
€21.20
+17.1%
14.2%€26.86€16.96€19.9010
Jan ’24€19.90
€20.65
+3.7%
14.3%€26.50€17.08€18.7011
Dec ’23€19.80
€20.60
+4.0%
14.1%€26.52€17.10€17.9011

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 08:04
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

West Japan Railway Company is covered by 35 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Takayuki HayanoBarclays
Yasuharu SugimuraBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)
Nathan GeeBofA Global Research