XPO, Inc.

DB:UX2A Stock Report

Market Cap: €15.3b

XPO Valuation

Is UX2A undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UX2A when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€200.69
Fair Value
35.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
23
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: UX2A (€130.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€200.69)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UX2A is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UX2A?

Key metric: As UX2A is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for UX2A. This is calculated by dividing UX2A's market cap by their current earnings.
What is UX2A's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio43.2x
EarningsUS$370.00m
Market CapUS$15.77b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UX2A's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UX2A vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.3x
3WB Waberer's International Nyrt
10.3xn/a€161.5m
HLAG Hapag-Lloyd
18.9x-11.9%€27.6b
DHL Deutsche Post
12.4x8.7%€39.9b
SIX2 Sixt
15.7x14.1%€3.4b
UX2A XPO
43.2x18.6%€15.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UX2A is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.2x) compared to the peer average (14.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UX2A's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Transportation Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
UX2A 43.2xIndustry Avg. 13.3xNo. of Companies4PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UX2A is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.2x) compared to the European Transportation industry average (13.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UX2A's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UX2A PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio43.2x
Fair PE Ratio18.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: UX2A is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UX2A forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€130.30
€145.04
+11.3%
19.2%€175.46€82.40n/a23
Jan ’26€125.70
€144.41
+14.9%
19.7%€173.69€81.57n/a23
Dec ’25€141.90
€140.62
-0.9%
16.5%€171.89€81.63n/a23
Nov ’25€118.95
€131.16
+10.3%
14.3%€149.49€78.44n/a23
Oct ’25€95.86
€116.97
+22.0%
14.0%€144.54€74.08n/a23
Sep ’25€103.40
€119.70
+15.8%
13.5%€137.43€75.13n/a23
Aug ’25€110.00
€119.72
+8.8%
14.5%€136.22€75.99n/a21
Jul ’25€98.22
€120.81
+23.0%
14.1%€139.97€76.51n/a23
Jun ’25€97.30
€122.18
+25.6%
14.9%€148.00€75.85n/a22
May ’25€102.45
€122.91
+20.0%
15.4%€144.80€74.74n/a21
Apr ’25€111.00
€116.79
+5.2%
16.6%€143.44€69.41n/a20
Mar ’25€111.00
€115.18
+3.8%
15.1%€135.15€69.91n/a21
Feb ’25€79.00
€86.82
+9.9%
11.2%€100.43€55.69n/a22
Jan ’25€81.00
€82.49
+1.8%
13.5%€97.25€53.63€125.7021
Dec ’24€79.00
€79.85
+1.1%
13.7%€95.82€49.28€141.9022
Nov ’24€74.00
€82.37
+11.3%
13.4%€99.36€51.10€118.9522
Oct ’24€70.50
€72.23
+2.5%
13.1%€83.32€45.45€95.8621
Sep ’24€68.50
€69.56
+1.6%
12.6%€80.92€42.30€103.4023
Aug ’24€62.50
€56.89
-9.0%
14.9%€73.75€40.06€110.0023
Jul ’24€54.00
€49.15
-9.0%
12.1%€62.32€36.66€98.2222
Jun ’24€43.80
€47.21
+7.8%
9.8%€56.14€37.43€97.3022
May ’24€37.80
€39.36
+4.1%
12.9%€48.08€29.94€102.4521
Apr ’24€28.22
€39.74
+40.8%
10.3%€49.85€32.92€111.0020
Mar ’24€31.19
€39.93
+28.0%
10.7%€49.66€32.79€111.0021
Feb ’24€36.23
€44.53
+22.9%
26.3%€88.48€32.26€79.0022
Jan ’24€31.97
€48.03
+50.2%
30.1%€89.65€32.69€81.0021
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 23 Analysts
€142.11
Fair Value
8.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
23
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/08 13:42
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/08 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

XPO, Inc. is covered by 37 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Eric MorganBarclays
Brandon OglenskiBarclays
Christopher KuhnBenchmark Company