Uber Technologies Valuation

Is UT8 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UT8 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UT8 (€58.16) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€149.27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UT8 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UT8?

Key metric: As UT8 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for UT8. This is calculated by dividing UT8's market cap by their current earnings.
What is UT8's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio28.8x
EarningsUS$4.40b
Market CapUS$126.78b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UT8's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UT8 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.9x
SIX2 Sixt
15.1x16.3%€3.3b
DHL Deutsche Post
12.1x8.8%€38.8b
HLAG Hapag-Lloyd
18x-12.6%€26.4b
LHA Deutsche Lufthansa
6.6x14.8%€7.4b
UT8 Uber Technologies
28.8x21.4%€126.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UT8 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.8x) compared to the peer average (12.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UT8's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Transportation Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
UT8 28.8xIndustry Avg. 12.0xNo. of Companies5PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UT8 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.8x) compared to the European Transportation industry average (12x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UT8's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UT8 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.8x
Fair PE Ratio27.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: UT8 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UT8 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€58.16
€86.89
+49.4%
9.5%€115.79€72.37n/a50
Dec ’25€68.37
€85.67
+25.3%
9.6%€114.34€71.46n/a50
Nov ’25€67.98
€82.61
+21.5%
9.9%€110.74€60.90n/a50
Oct ’25€66.87
€79.24
+18.5%
9.1%€92.15€59.62n/a50
Sep ’25€65.44
€78.79
+20.4%
9.2%€92.29€59.72n/a47
Aug ’25€57.99
€80.15
+38.2%
9.2%€94.24€60.05n/a47
Jul ’25€65.88
€81.75
+24.1%
13.5%€135.36€60.68n/a46
Jun ’25€58.92
€80.53
+36.7%
13.3%€133.65€59.91n/a47
May ’25€61.90
€82.12
+32.7%
9.3%€96.49€60.89n/a48
Apr ’25€71.80
€79.73
+11.0%
9.1%€91.85€59.70n/a48
Mar ’25€74.05
€79.95
+8.0%
9.2%€92.41€60.07n/a48
Feb ’25€61.35
€63.29
+3.2%
11.5%€83.01€47.96n/a47
Jan ’25€57.10
€58.53
+2.5%
11.2%€81.52€47.10n/a46
Dec ’24€53.00
€55.88
+5.4%
10.4%€68.96€35.86€68.3745
Nov ’24€41.50
€54.64
+31.7%
10.7%€70.98€36.91€67.9844
Oct ’24€44.18
€54.40
+23.1%
10.9%€70.45€36.63€66.8743
Sep ’24€43.70
€53.31
+22.0%
11.0%€69.04€35.90€65.4442
Aug ’24€42.26
€49.80
+17.8%
14.6%€68.29€29.59€57.9942
Jul ’24€39.50
€47.28
+19.7%
15.8%€68.73€29.78€65.8842
Jun ’24€35.18
€46.38
+31.8%
17.2%€70.18€30.41€58.9241
May ’24€27.06
€43.17
+59.5%
19.6%€68.04€24.49€61.9040
Apr ’24€28.68
€44.71
+55.9%
19.0%€69.84€25.14€71.8040
Mar ’24€31.18
€44.96
+44.2%
19.2%€70.34€24.39€74.0540
Feb ’24€28.10
€41.58
+48.0%
23.5%€68.27€23.67€61.3541
Jan ’24€23.26
€44.87
+92.9%
23.3%€72.79€30.09€57.1041
Dec ’23€27.83
€44.87
+61.2%
23.3%€72.79€30.09€53.0041

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 11:28
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Uber Technologies, Inc. is covered by 82 analysts. 50 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Oliver LesterArete Research Services LLP
Richard KramerArete Research Services LLP
William SeleskyArgus Research Company