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Stagecoach Group Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of SHP5 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

SHP5 (€1.21) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (€0.68)

Is SHP5 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SHP5 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SHP5 (€1.21) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€0.68)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SHP5 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SHP5?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for SHP5. This is calculated by dividing SHP5's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is SHP5's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	UK£485.37m

SHP5 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	-7x
PEG Ratio	0.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SHP5's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SHP5 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	18.1x
LNSX Allane	31x	29.9%	€270.0m
LNSX Allane	n/a	101.7%	€210.2m
SIX2 Sixt	12.8x	15.5%	€2.9b
EUK3 EUROKAI GmbH KGaA	10.5x	11.9%	€410.8m
SHP5 Stagecoach Group	14.4x	39.4%	€588.4m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SHP5 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.4x) compared to the peer average (14.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SHP5's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Transportation Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	24.4%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	24.4%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SHP5 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.4x) compared to the European Transportation industry average (13.8x)

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SHP5's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SHP5 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	14.4x
Fair PE Ratio	28.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SHP5 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.