CSX Corporation

DB:CXR Stock Report

Market Cap: €79.4b

CSX Valuation

Is CXR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of CXR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: CXR (€42.48) is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value (€40.03)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: CXR is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CXR?

Key metric: As CXR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CXR. This is calculated by dividing CXR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CXR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio29.6x
EarningsUS$3.05b
Market CapUS$90.70b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CXR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CXR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average37.5x
DHL Deutsche Post
17.8x6.65%€62.7b
HLAG Hapag-Lloyd
82.3x29.05%€20.4b
NSC Norfolk Southern
27.2x7.98%US$72.3b
CNR Canadian National Railway
22.5x5.70%CA$104.9b
CXR CSX
29.6x8.80%€90.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CXR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.6x) compared to the peer average (37.5x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CXR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Transportation Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CXR 29.6xIndustry Avg. 15.3xNo. of Companies7PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CXR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.6x) compared to the European Transportation industry average (15.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CXR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CXR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio29.6x
Fair PE Ratio23.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CXR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CXR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€42.48
€41.59
-2.08%
11.79%€48.18€28.03n/a22
Jul ’27€41.46
€41.45
-0.023%
12.16%€48.30€26.34n/a22
Jun ’27€38.68
€39.54
+2.22%
10.99%€44.81€25.85n/a22
May ’27€37.69
€38.80
+2.94%
10.63%€44.30€25.56n/a23
Apr ’27€35.32
€35.63
+0.89%
9.77%€43.17€25.90n/a24
Mar ’27€35.82
€33.87
-5.43%
7.46%€38.13€25.42n/a24
Feb ’27€31.49
€33.61
+6.73%
7.52%€37.94€25.30n/a24
Jan ’27€31.03
€33.81
+8.95%
8.25%€38.43€25.62n/a24
Dec ’26€30.33
€33.85
+11.59%
9.13%€38.76€23.26n/a24
Nov ’26€30.60
€33.80
+10.48%
9.04%€38.80€23.28n/a25
Oct ’26€30.05
€32.66
+8.69%
8.34%€36.64€23.01n/a25
Sep ’26€27.60
€32.79
+18.84%
8.75%€37.62€23.08n/a25
Aug ’26€30.17
€33.53
+11.12%
10.85%€39.41€23.65n/a25
Jul ’26€27.53
€28.32
+2.86%
10.28%€34.78€22.90€41.4626
Jun ’26€27.48
€28.93
+5.26%
9.73%€36.11€23.78€38.6825
May ’26€24.50
€28.72
+17.21%
9.64%€35.89€23.63€37.6926
Apr ’26€26.95
€33.07
+22.71%
8.85%€38.93€25.95€35.3227
Mar ’26€30.57
€35.12
+14.89%
7.76%€40.15€26.77€35.8226
Feb ’26€31.80
€35.55
+11.80%
7.86%€40.34€26.89€31.4926
Jan ’26€30.98
€37.29
+20.37%
8.50%€42.44€28.94€31.0326
Dec ’25€34.36
€36.72
+6.87%
8.64%€41.67€28.41€30.3326
Nov ’25€30.78
€35.56
+15.55%
8.42%€40.76€27.79€30.6026
Oct ’25€30.88
€34.54
+11.85%
7.63%€38.62€26.94€30.0525
Sep ’25€30.66
€35.49
+15.77%
7.60%€39.35€27.46€27.6025
Aug ’25€32.36
€35.79
+10.63%
7.65%€40.65€27.72€30.1725
Jul ’25€30.93
€36.34
+17.48%
7.72%€41.06€27.99€27.5325
€41.57
Fair Value
2.2% overvalued intrinsic discount
22
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/07 00:29
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/07 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

CSX Corporation is covered by 37 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John EadeArgus Research Company
Daniel MooreBaird
Garrett ChaseBarclays