C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.

DB:CH1A Stock Report

Market Cap: €7.7b

C.H. Robinson Worldwide Valuation

Is CH1A undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CH1A when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CH1A (€65) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€117.29)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CH1A is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CH1A?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

CH1A key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA16.9x
PEG Ratio1.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CH1A's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CH1A vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.4x
DHL Deutsche Post
12.4x7.8%€45.4b
TGHN Logwin
9.2x-13.7%€731.3m
DE1 Deufol
3.7xn/a€58.4m
LHA Deutsche Lufthansa
4.2x2.0%€8.0b
CH1A C.H. Robinson Worldwide
25.3x14.5%€8.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CH1A is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.3x) compared to the peer average (7.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CH1A's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Logistics Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CH1A is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.3x) compared to the European Logistics industry average (14.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CH1A's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CH1A PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.3x
Fair PE Ratio17.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CH1A is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CH1A forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€65.00
€72.68
+11.8%
10.7%€87.52€54.58n/a23
Apr ’25€69.50
€73.48
+5.7%
10.1%€86.58€55.86n/a23
Mar ’25€67.50
€74.10
+9.8%
11.1%€95.97€55.37n/a24
Feb ’25€74.00
€74.91
+1.2%
11.7%€95.68€55.20n/a25
Jan ’25€78.00
€79.82
+2.3%
11.5%€102.80€55.57n/a25
Dec ’24€74.50
€78.73
+5.7%
11.4%€101.17€54.68n/a25
Nov ’24€76.50
€83.89
+9.7%
11.0%€105.04€58.67n/a24
Oct ’24€81.50
€87.92
+7.9%
11.8%€113.62€58.70n/a25
Sep ’24€82.00
€86.30
+5.2%
11.7%€110.60€57.15n/a26
Aug ’24€90.00
€84.82
-5.8%
12.5%€109.26€56.45n/a26
Jul ’24€85.50
€85.46
-0.04%
12.0%€110.41€57.05n/a26
Jun ’24€87.00
€87.02
+0.02%
11.9%€112.28€58.01n/a26
May ’24€91.00
€84.13
-7.6%
12.3%€108.90€56.27n/a25
Apr ’24€87.50
€86.21
-1.5%
12.3%€117.36€58.68€69.5025
Mar ’24€93.50
€88.06
-5.8%
12.6%€119.86€59.93€67.5025
Feb ’24€91.00
€85.95
-5.6%
13.0%€116.52€60.99€74.0024
Jan ’24€85.00
€92.75
+9.1%
12.5%€120.55€62.16€78.0025
Dec ’23€94.00
€93.94
-0.07%
12.5%€121.60€62.70€74.5025
Nov ’23€99.00
€107.75
+8.8%
12.4%€135.47€67.23€76.5024
Oct ’23€99.50
€113.69
+14.3%
12.3%€137.77€67.35€81.5022
Sep ’23€115.00
€108.83
-5.4%
12.2%€131.50€64.29€82.0022
Aug ’23€107.00
€108.76
+1.6%
12.2%€132.17€64.61€90.0022
Jul ’23€98.00
€103.73
+5.9%
13.0%€127.56€59.53€85.5023
Jun ’23€102.00
€104.70
+2.6%
13.3%€127.97€59.72€87.0022
May ’23€105.00
€104.04
-0.9%
13.7%€128.01€59.74€91.0022
Apr ’23€96.50
€93.06
-3.6%
12.8%€113.19€56.14€87.5022

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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