Beijing Capital International Airport Company Limited

DB:BJ1 Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.4b

Beijing Capital International Airport Valuation

Is BJ1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BJ1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BJ1 (€0.31) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€1.18)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BJ1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BJ1?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

BJ1 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-181.6x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does BJ1's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for BJ1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1x
FRA Fraport
1.1x3.0%€4.4b
HHFA Hamburger Hafen und Logistik
0.9x4.5%€1.3b
EUK3 EUROKAI GmbH KGaA
1.6x4.3%€375.8m
TGHN Logwin
0.6x2.0%€731.3m
BJ1 Beijing Capital International Airport
2.3x19.5%€11.4b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: BJ1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x) compared to the peer average (1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BJ1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Infrastructure Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: BJ1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x) compared to the European Infrastructure industry average (2.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BJ1's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BJ1 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: BJ1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BJ1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.31
€0.37
+19.3%
23.5%€0.59€0.28n/a10
Apr ’25€0.27
€0.37
+35.5%
25.0%€0.58€0.25n/a9
Mar ’25€0.29
€0.41
+40.6%
36.9%€0.75€0.25n/a9
Feb ’25€0.25
€0.41
+61.8%
36.9%€0.75€0.25n/a9
Jan ’25€0.25
€0.49
+98.3%
36.8%€0.77€0.25n/a9
Dec ’24€0.32
€0.63
+96.8%
20.8%€0.86€0.44n/a10
Nov ’24€0.33
€0.65
+100.0%
18.1%€0.87€0.45n/a10
Oct ’24€0.42
€0.70
+66.2%
28.7%€1.19€0.44n/a10
Sep ’24€0.46
€0.69
+49.4%
28.7%€1.19€0.44n/a11
Aug ’24€0.57
€0.73
+26.7%
25.0%€1.14€0.50n/a11
Jul ’24€0.57
€0.73
+26.4%
25.2%€1.14€0.50n/a11
Jun ’24€0.63
€0.77
+21.5%
25.8%€1.18€0.53n/a11
May ’24€0.69
€0.76
+10.0%
24.1%€1.10€0.54n/a11
Apr ’24€0.67
€0.77
+15.1%
24.4%€1.12€0.54€0.2711
Mar ’24€0.69
€0.74
+8.2%
23.4%€1.14€0.57€0.2911
Feb ’24€0.68
€0.73
+7.5%
23.2%€1.12€0.56€0.2511
Jan ’24€0.67
€0.68
+2.0%
17.1%€0.88€0.48€0.2512
Dec ’23€0.60
€0.67
+10.5%
17.9%€0.87€0.47€0.3212
Nov ’23€0.55
€0.70
+28.3%
18.8%€0.93€0.51€0.3312
Oct ’23€0.54
€0.69
+27.6%
19.3%€0.92€0.50€0.4212
Sep ’23€0.59
€0.70
+19.0%
19.4%€0.93€0.51€0.4612
Aug ’23€0.57
€0.68
+18.4%
19.9%€0.91€0.49€0.5712
Jul ’23€0.63
€0.65
+4.4%
21.4%€0.88€0.48€0.5712
Jun ’23€0.53
€0.64
+21.3%
22.7%€0.88€0.47€0.6312
May ’23€0.49
€0.64
+29.8%
23.2%€0.87€0.47€0.6911
Apr ’23€0.49
€0.63
+27.9%
22.2%€0.85€0.46€0.6711

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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