Stock Analysis

Here's What To Make Of Logwin's (ETR:TGHN) Returns On Capital

XTRA:TGHN
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What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after investigating Logwin (ETR:TGHN), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.

What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Logwin:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.14 = €42m ÷ (€537m - €227m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2020).

Therefore, Logwin has an ROCE of 14%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Logistics industry average of 9.1% it's much better.

Check out our latest analysis for Logwin

roce
XTRA:TGHN Return on Capital Employed December 24th 2020

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Logwin compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Logwin here for free.

So How Is Logwin's ROCE Trending?

On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Logwin doesn't inspire confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 18%, but since then they've fallen to 14%. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.

On a related note, Logwin has decreased its current liabilities to 42% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money. Keep in mind 42% is still pretty high, so those risks are still somewhat prevalent.

In Conclusion...

Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Logwin's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. And with the stock having returned a mere 6.1% in the last three years to shareholders, you could argue that they're aware of these lackluster trends. So if you're looking for a multi-bagger, the underlying trends indicate you may have better chances elsewhere.

On a final note, we've found 1 warning sign for Logwin that we think you should be aware of.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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