Stock Analysis

Is Müller - Die lila Logistik (ETR:MLL) Using Debt Sensibly?

XTRA:MLL
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Müller - Die lila Logistik SE (ETR:MLL) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Müller - Die lila Logistik

How Much Debt Does Müller - Die lila Logistik Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2022, Müller - Die lila Logistik had €56.3m of debt, up from €5.78m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of €11.2m, its net debt is less, at about €45.1m.

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XTRA:MLL Debt to Equity History May 25th 2023

How Strong Is Müller - Die lila Logistik's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Müller - Die lila Logistik had liabilities of €60.5m due within 12 months, and liabilities of €115.7m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of €11.2m and €34.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total €130.2m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the €50.5m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Müller - Die lila Logistik would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Müller - Die lila Logistik's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Müller - Die lila Logistik reported revenue of €162m, which is a gain of 20%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

Caveat Emptor

Despite the top line growth, Müller - Die lila Logistik still had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at €4.9m. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. Nevertheless, we would not bet on it given that it vaporized €20m in cash over the last twelve months, and it doesn't have much by way of liquid assets. So we think this stock is risky, like walking through a dirty dog park with a mask on. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Müller - Die lila Logistik has 4 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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Find out whether Müller - Die lila Logistik is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.