Stock Analysis

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Hamburger Hafen und Logistik Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:HHFA)?

XTRA:HHFA
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Hamburger Hafen und Logistik Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:HHFA), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the XTRA over the last few months, increasing to €12.92 at one point, and dropping to the lows of €11.00. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Hamburger Hafen und Logistik's current trading price of €11.00 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Hamburger Hafen und Logistik’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for Hamburger Hafen und Logistik

What's The Opportunity In Hamburger Hafen und Logistik?

The stock is currently trading at €11.00 on the share market, which means it is overvalued by 37% compared to my intrinsic value of €8.00. This means that the opportunity to buy Hamburger Hafen und Logistik at a good price has disappeared! But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Given that Hamburger Hafen und Logistik’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

Can we expect growth from Hamburger Hafen und Logistik?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
XTRA:HHFA Earnings and Revenue Growth August 17th 2023

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by 30% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Hamburger Hafen und Logistik. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? HHFA’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe HHFA should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on HHFA for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for HHFA, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. At Simply Wall St, we found 2 warning signs for Hamburger Hafen und Logistik and we think they deserve your attention.

If you are no longer interested in Hamburger Hafen und Logistik, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.