Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Hamburger Hafen und Logistik Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:HHFA) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
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What Is Hamburger Hafen und Logistik's Net Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Hamburger Hafen und Logistik had €618.5m in debt in June 2022; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has €146.9m in cash leading to net debt of about €471.6m.
How Healthy Is Hamburger Hafen und Logistik's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Hamburger Hafen und Logistik had liabilities of €395.7m due within 12 months, and liabilities of €1.62b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had €146.9m in cash and €302.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €1.57b.
This deficit casts a shadow over the €950.8m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Hamburger Hafen und Logistik would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 1.3 and interest cover of 5.7 times, it seems to us that Hamburger Hafen und Logistik is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. It is well worth noting that Hamburger Hafen und Logistik's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 62% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hamburger Hafen und Logistik can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Hamburger Hafen und Logistik produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 61% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Our View
Neither Hamburger Hafen und Logistik's ability to handle its total liabilities nor its interest cover gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its EBIT growth rate tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. We should also note that Infrastructure industry companies like Hamburger Hafen und Logistik commonly do use debt without problems. We think that Hamburger Hafen und Logistik's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Hamburger Hafen und Logistik (including 1 which is significant) .
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:HHFA
Hamburger Hafen und Logistik
Operates as a port and transport logistics company in Germany, rest of European Union, and internationally.
Moderate growth potential with poor track record.