Stock Analysis

Returns On Capital At Deutsche Post (ETR:DPW) Paint An Interesting Picture

XTRA:DHL
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If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. However, after investigating Deutsche Post (ETR:DPW), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Deutsche Post, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.091 = €3.3b ÷ (€53b - €17b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

Thus, Deutsche Post has an ROCE of 9.1%. Even though it's in line with the industry average of 8.5%, it's still a low return by itself.

Check out our latest analysis for Deutsche Post

roce
XTRA:DPW Return on Capital Employed January 14th 2021

In the above chart we have measured Deutsche Post's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Deutsche Post.

The Trend Of ROCE

The returns on capital haven't changed much for Deutsche Post in recent years. The company has employed 59% more capital in the last five years, and the returns on that capital have remained stable at 9.1%. Given the company has increased the amount of capital employed, it appears the investments that have been made simply don't provide a high return on capital.

What We Can Learn From Deutsche Post's ROCE

In conclusion, Deutsche Post has been investing more capital into the business, but returns on that capital haven't increased. Yet to long term shareholders the stock has gifted them an incredible 123% return in the last five years, so the market appears to be rosy about its future. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.

If you want to continue researching Deutsche Post, you might be interested to know about the 1 warning sign that our analysis has discovered.

While Deutsche Post may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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