China Tower Corporation Limited

DB:2Y1 Stock Report

Market Cap: €21.5b

China Tower Valuation

Is 2Y1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2Y1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 2Y1 (€0.12) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€0.39)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 2Y1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2Y1?

Key metric: As 2Y1 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 2Y1. This is calculated by dividing 2Y1's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 2Y1's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.5x
EarningsCN¥10.56b
Market CapCN¥163.95b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 2Y1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 2Y1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.9x
O2D Telefónica Deutschland Holding
26.5x-41.1%€7.2b
O2D Telefónica Deutschland Holding
22.4x-11.4%€6.2b
DTE Deutsche Telekom
23.6x18.8%€141.2b
T TELUS
35x22.5%CA$32.3b
2Y1 China Tower
15.5x24.2%€176.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 2Y1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.5x) compared to the peer average (26.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 2Y1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Telecom Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
2Y1 15.5xIndustry Avg. 18.1xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 2Y1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.5x) compared to the European Telecom industry average (18.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2Y1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2Y1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.5x
Fair PE Ratio29.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 2Y1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 2Y1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.12
€0.14
+17.7%
13.5%€0.17€0.11n/a13
Nov ’25€0.12
€0.14
+15.9%
13.5%€0.17€0.11n/a13
Oct ’25€0.12
€0.13
+17.4%
14.7%€0.17€0.11n/a13
Sep ’25€0.11
€0.13
+21.4%
14.7%€0.16€0.11n/a13
Aug ’25€0.11
€0.14
+26.0%
15.8%€0.17€0.10n/a12
Jul ’25€0.12
€0.13
+14.9%
17.0%€0.17€0.10n/a14
Jun ’25€0.10
€0.13
+27.9%
17.0%€0.17€0.11n/a14
May ’25€0.11
€0.13
+25.5%
17.0%€0.17€0.11n/a14
Apr ’25€0.10
€0.13
+28.0%
17.9%€0.17€0.10n/a15
Mar ’25€0.11
€0.12
+16.3%
22.3%€0.18€0.088n/a16
Feb ’25€0.096
€0.13
+31.5%
22.7%€0.18€0.089n/a17
Jan ’25€0.09
€0.13
+41.2%
26.0%€0.20€0.088n/a16
Dec ’24€0.091
€0.13
+39.7%
25.2%€0.20€0.089n/a17
Nov ’24€0.085
€0.13
+54.3%
25.0%€0.21€0.09€0.1217
Oct ’24€0.085
€0.13
+57.4%
22.1%€0.20€0.09€0.1217
Sep ’24€0.085
€0.13
+55.4%
22.2%€0.20€0.089€0.1117
Aug ’24€0.11
€0.13
+20.0%
18.2%€0.20€0.097€0.1117
Jul ’24€0.10
€0.13
+27.9%
17.6%€0.19€0.098€0.1218
Jun ’24€0.10
€0.13
+33.5%
17.3%€0.20€0.10€0.1019
May ’24€0.11
€0.13
+19.3%
17.6%€0.20€0.10€0.1118
Apr ’24€0.11
€0.13
+25.4%
18.3%€0.20€0.096€0.1018
Mar ’24€0.10
€0.13
+27.8%
21.6%€0.21€0.081€0.1119
Feb ’24€0.11
€0.14
+29.3%
21.0%€0.21€0.083€0.09619
Jan ’24€0.096
€0.13
+40.0%
20.9%€0.21€0.081€0.0919
Dec ’23€0.10
€0.14
+29.2%
23.4%€0.21€0.079€0.09119
Nov ’23€0.089
€0.14
+57.0%
22.8%€0.22€0.08€0.08520

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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