Stock Analysis

Some Mobotix AG (ETR:MBQ) Shareholders Look For Exit As Shares Take 27% Pounding

XTRA:MBQ
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Mobotix AG (ETR:MBQ) share price has dived 27% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 78% share price decline.

Although its price has dipped substantially, it's still not a stretch to say that Mobotix's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Electronic industry in Germany, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.5x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for Mobotix

ps-multiple-vs-industry
XTRA:MBQ Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 20th 2024

How Mobotix Has Been Performing

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Mobotix's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Mobotix.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Mobotix's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 12%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 18% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the only analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 2.8% per annum over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 14% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's curious that Mobotix's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What Does Mobotix's P/S Mean For Investors?

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Mobotix looks to be in line with the rest of the Electronic industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

When you consider that Mobotix's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Mobotix that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Mobotix's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.