Stock Analysis

Is Nemetschek (ETR:NEM) A Risky Investment?

XTRA:NEM
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Nemetschek SE (ETR:NEM) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Nemetschek

What Is Nemetschek's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Nemetschek had debt of €66.1m at the end of September 2022, a reduction from €82.8m over a year. However, it does have €186.6m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of €120.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
XTRA:NEM Debt to Equity History January 22nd 2023

A Look At Nemetschek's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Nemetschek had liabilities of €391.1m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €104.7m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €186.6m in cash and €97.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €211.3m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded Nemetschek shares are worth a total of €5.86b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Nemetschek boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Another good sign is that Nemetschek has been able to increase its EBIT by 28% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Nemetschek can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Nemetschek may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Nemetschek actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Summing Up

We could understand if investors are concerned about Nemetschek's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of €120.5m. The cherry on top was that in converted 118% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in €209m. So we don't think Nemetschek's use of debt is risky. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Nemetschek's earnings per share history for free.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nemetschek might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.