Stock Analysis

We Think Mensch und Maschine Software (ETR:MUM) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

XTRA:MUM
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Mensch und Maschine Software SE (ETR:MUM) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Mensch und Maschine Software

What Is Mensch und Maschine Software's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Mensch und Maschine Software had debt of €22.6m at the end of September 2020, a reduction from €25.5m over a year. On the flip side, it has €19.9m in cash leading to net debt of about €2.72m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
XTRA:MUM Debt to Equity History February 1st 2021

How Strong Is Mensch und Maschine Software's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Mensch und Maschine Software had liabilities of €46.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €31.6m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €19.9m and €23.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling €34.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given Mensch und Maschine Software has a market capitalization of €1.04b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. But either way, Mensch und Maschine Software has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

With debt at a measly 0.079 times EBITDA and EBIT covering interest a whopping 39.0 times, it's clear that Mensch und Maschine Software is not a desperate borrower. So relative to past earnings, the debt load seems trivial. Also positive, Mensch und Maschine Software grew its EBIT by 24% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Mensch und Maschine Software can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Mensch und Maschine Software recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 89% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Our View

Mensch und Maschine Software's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is also very heartening. We think Mensch und Maschine Software is no more beholden to its lenders, than the birds are to birdwatchers. To our minds it has a healthy happy balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Mensch und Maschine Software you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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