SMA Solar Technology Valuation

Is S92 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of S92 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: S92 (€13.37) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€5.39)

Significantly Below Fair Value: S92 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for S92?

Key metric: As S92 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for S92. This is calculated by dividing S92's market cap by their current earnings.
What is S92's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.7x
Earnings€79.98m
Market Cap€458.04m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does S92's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for S92 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.3x
TPE PVA TePla
11.1x0.6%€282.1m
SMHN SÜSS MicroTec
21.6x-3.4%€929.0m
AIXA AIXTRON
13.7x6.2%€1.6b
WAF Siltronic
15x-17.0%€1.4b
S92 SMA Solar Technology
5.7x28.8%€458.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: S92 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.7x) compared to the peer average (15.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does S92's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Semiconductor Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
S92 5.7xIndustry Avg. 15.0xNo. of Companies7PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: S92 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.7x) compared to the European Semiconductor industry average (15x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is S92's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

S92 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.7x
Fair PE Ratio20.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: S92 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst S92 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€13.37
€14.83
+10.9%
11.3%€17.00€12.00n/a6
Nov ’25€15.67
€20.00
+27.6%
4.1%€21.00€19.00n/a6
Oct ’25€18.57
€22.33
+20.3%
15.7%€30.00€20.00n/a6
Sep ’25€21.00
€30.83
+46.8%
14.8%€40.00€26.00n/a6
Aug ’25€24.70
€33.17
+34.3%
9.9%€40.00€30.00n/a6
Jul ’25€26.72
€33.17
+24.1%
9.9%€40.00€30.00n/a6
Jun ’25€48.82
€58.33
+19.5%
14.4%€70.00€48.00n/a6
May ’25€49.24
€63.00
+27.9%
15.4%€76.00€51.00n/a6
Apr ’25€53.85
€66.33
+23.2%
10.0%€76.00€60.00n/a6
Mar ’25€58.95
€66.50
+12.8%
11.6%€82.00€60.00n/a6
Feb ’25€47.44
€66.50
+40.2%
11.6%€82.00€60.00n/a6
Jan ’25€60.05
€66.50
+10.7%
11.6%€82.00€60.00n/a6
Dec ’24€57.30
€66.50
+16.1%
11.6%€82.00€60.00n/a6
Nov ’24€54.80
€84.83
+54.8%
20.5%€115.00€67.00€15.676
Oct ’24€61.85
€91.67
+48.2%
12.9%€115.00€81.00€18.576
Sep ’24€73.45
€91.67
+24.8%
12.9%€115.00€81.00€21.006
Aug ’24€87.75
€107.40
+22.4%
5.7%€115.00€97.00€24.705
Jul ’24€111.00
€112.40
+1.3%
8.6%€125.00€97.00€26.725
Jun ’24€102.10
€107.40
+5.2%
11.7%€125.00€94.00€48.825
May ’24€97.80
€95.60
-2.2%
14.2%€120.00€83.00€49.245
Apr ’24€97.75
€83.60
-14.5%
15.8%€100.00€60.00€53.855
Mar ’24€76.85
€62.00
-19.3%
21.3%€85.00€47.00€58.955
Feb ’24€78.70
€62.00
-21.2%
21.3%€85.00€47.00€47.445
Jan ’24€67.45
€56.00
-17.0%
11.7%€66.00€47.00€60.055
Dec ’23€64.65
€56.00
-13.4%
11.7%€66.00€47.00€57.305
Nov ’23€50.55
€49.40
-2.3%
9.2%€56.00€43.00€54.805

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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