PVA TePla Valuation

Is TPE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TPE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TPE (€19.04) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TPE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TPE?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

TPE key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.4x
PEG Ratio1.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TPE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TPE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.4x
SMHN SÜSS MicroTec
49.2x17.0%€853.5m
S92 SMA Solar Technology
7.7x-6.3%€1.7b
CTNK centrotherm international
4.7xn/a€89.3m
AIXA AIXTRON
16.1x11.0%€2.5b
TPE PVA TePla
17x11.3%€414.1m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TPE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the peer average (19.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TPE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Semiconductor Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TPE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the European Semiconductor industry average (15x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TPE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TPE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17x
Fair PE Ratio14.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TPE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TPE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€19.04
€28.77
+51.1%
15.9%€35.00€19.00n/a10
Apr ’25€18.79
€28.67
+52.6%
16.3%€35.00€19.00n/a10
Mar ’25€22.72
€27.70
+21.9%
20.5%€35.00€18.52n/a10
Feb ’25€21.02
€26.95
+28.2%
20.0%€34.00€18.52n/a10
Jan ’25€20.40
€26.95
+32.1%
20.0%€34.00€18.52n/a10
Dec ’24€19.78
€26.55
+34.2%
20.8%€34.00€18.52n/a10
Nov ’24€14.50
€27.20
+87.6%
19.5%€34.00€18.49n/a10
Oct ’24€15.38
€28.17
+83.1%
16.6%€34.00€21.00n/a9
Sep ’24€17.41
€28.17
+61.8%
16.6%€34.00€21.00n/a9
Aug ’24€21.10
€28.06
+33.0%
17.3%€34.00€20.00n/a9
Jul ’24€19.02
€29.72
+56.3%
20.0%€40.00€20.00n/a9
Jun ’24€18.87
€29.72
+57.5%
20.0%€40.00€20.00n/a9
May ’24€19.40
€29.83
+53.8%
20.1%€40.00€20.00€18.679
Apr ’24€21.70
€29.50
+35.9%
21.4%€40.00€18.00€18.799
Mar ’24€25.92
€30.10
+16.1%
27.3%€46.00€18.00€22.7210
Feb ’24€22.48
€28.75
+27.9%
28.2%€46.00€18.00€21.0210
Jan ’24€18.56
€27.25
+46.8%
32.0%€46.00€15.00€20.4010
Dec ’23€19.40
€26.15
+34.8%
36.3%€46.00€15.00€19.7810
Nov ’23€17.11
€28.26
+65.2%
34.4%€46.00€15.00€14.5010
Oct ’23€15.03
€29.11
+93.7%
32.6%€46.00€16.00€15.3810
Sep ’23€16.20
€29.11
+79.7%
32.6%€46.00€16.00€17.4110
Aug ’23€21.40
€29.95
+40.0%
32.0%€46.00€16.00€21.1010
Jul ’23€17.08
€34.69
+103.1%
18.6%€46.00€25.00€19.028
Jun ’23€24.18
€34.69
+43.5%
18.6%€46.00€25.00€18.878
May ’23€23.76
€34.94
+47.0%
18.2%€46.00€25.00€19.408

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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