GCL Technology Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

GCL Technology Holdings is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 82.1% and 20.1% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 82.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 11.8% in 3 years.

Key information

82.1%

Earnings growth rate

82.1%

EPS growth rate

Semiconductor earnings growth	15.0%
Revenue growth rate	20.1%
Future return on equity	11.8%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	18 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

DB:3GY - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	34,026	3,415	9,046	7,676	15
12/31/2025	27,906	1,097	2,208	5,467	15
12/31/2024	18,648	-3,063	6,985	2,385	13
6/30/2024	21,617	-4,488	-13,422	-3,180	N/A
3/31/2024	27,659	-989	-14,723	-3,514	N/A
12/31/2023	33,700	2,510	-16,025	-3,848	N/A
6/30/2023	42,101	14,593	-13,356	655	N/A
3/31/2023	39,016	15,493	-10,404	4,262	N/A
12/31/2022	35,930	16,394	-7,452	7,869	N/A
6/30/2022	22,840	10,534	-6,932	3,357	N/A
3/31/2022	19,854	8,078	-5,464	2,620	N/A
12/31/2021	16,868	5,622	-3,996	1,882	N/A
9/30/2021	18,010	1,909	-2,449	1,626	N/A
6/30/2021	16,297	-1,265	-902	1,369	N/A
3/31/2021	15,484	-3,467	-705	1,479	N/A
12/31/2020	14,671	-5,668	-509	1,589	N/A
9/30/2020	15,548	-3,432	-1,557	1,165	N/A
6/30/2020	16,425	-1,196	-2,605	741	N/A
3/31/2020	17,837	-696	-2,081	2,121	N/A
12/31/2019	19,250	-197	-1,558	3,502	N/A
9/30/2019	19,393	-1,135	-234	6,199	N/A
6/30/2019	19,536	-2,073	1,090	8,896	N/A
3/31/2019	20,051	-1,383	-1,712	7,660	N/A
12/31/2018	20,565	-693	-4,515	6,424	N/A
9/30/2018	21,997	210	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2018	23,429	1,112	-8,983	8,131	N/A
3/31/2018	23,612	1,519	N/A	8,543	N/A
12/31/2017	23,794	1,926	N/A	8,955	N/A
6/30/2017	21,005	1,920	N/A	8,593	N/A
3/31/2017	21,515	2,010	N/A	8,189	N/A
12/31/2016	22,025	2,099	N/A	7,785	N/A
6/30/2016	22,680	2,930	N/A	3,289	N/A
3/31/2016	21,582	2,534	N/A	3,254	N/A
12/31/2015	20,484	2,139	N/A	3,218	N/A
6/30/2015	17,970	1,277	N/A	4,615	N/A
3/31/2015	19,748	1,345	N/A	5,770	N/A
12/31/2014	21,523	1,412	N/A	6,923	N/A
9/30/2014	27,145	1,229	N/A	8,060	N/A
6/30/2014	25,236	925	N/A	9,108	N/A
3/31/2014	22,834	196	N/A	7,958	N/A
12/31/2013	19,933	-519	N/A	6,642	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 3GY is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (1%).

Earnings vs Market: 3GY is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: 3GY is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 3GY's revenue (20.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the German market (5.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 3GY's revenue (20.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 3GY's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (11.8%).

GCL Technology Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

GCL Technology Holdings Limited Provides Group Earnings Guidance for the Six Months Ended 30 June 2024

GCL Technology Holdings Limited Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Year Ended 31 December 2022

GCL Technology Holdings Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Six Months Ended 30 June 2022

GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Limited Provides Group Earnings Forecast for the Year Ended 31 December 2021

Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2022

Forecast to breakeven in 2021

Recent updates

Executive President recently sold €644k worth of stock

GCL Technology Holdings Limited Appoints Li Junfeng as an Independent Non-Executive Director, A Member of the Corporate Governance Committee, A Member of the Strategy & Investment Committee and A Member of the Environmental, Social and Governance Committee, Effective from 1 November 2024

Gcl Technology Holdings Limited Appoints Mr. Lan Tianshi as Member of Environmental, Social and Governance Committee

New major risk - Share price stability

First half 2024 earnings released: CN¥0.056 loss per share (vs CN¥0.21 profit in 1H 2023)

GCL Technology Holdings Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Aug 29, 2024

GCL Technology Holdings Limited Provides Group Earnings Guidance for the Six Months Ended 30 June 2024

New major risk - Share price stability

GCL Technology Holdings Limited, Annual General Meeting, May 31, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.095 (vs CN¥0.61 in FY 2022)

New minor risk - Profit margin trend

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.095 (vs CN¥0.64 in FY 2022)

New major risk - Share price stability

GCL Technology Holdings Limited Announces 100,000-Tonne Granular Silicon Project of Inner Mongolia Xinhuan Silicon Energy Technology Co., Ltd. Officially Put into Production

New major risk - Earnings quality

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.21 (vs CN¥0.26 in 1H 2022)

GCL Technology Holdings Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Aug 29, 2023

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Upcoming dividend of HK$0.06 per share at 3.2% yield

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.61 (vs CN¥0.21 in FY 2021)

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

GCL Technology Holdings Limited Provides Consolidated Earnings Guidance for the Year Ended 31 December 2022

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Less than half of directors are independent

GCL Technology Holdings Announces Appointment of Zhu Yufeng as Vice Chairman

First half 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥25.80 (vs CN¥0.099 in 1H 2021)

GCL Technology Holdings Limited Announces Resignation of Zheng Xiongjiu as an Executive Director

GCL Technology Holdings Limited to Report First Half, 2022 Results on Aug 30, 2022

GCL Technology Holdings Limited announced that it expects to receive HKD 313.95 million in funding

GCL Technology Holdings Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for the Six Months Ended 30 June 2022

GCL Technology Holdings Limited Announces Resignation of Wong Man Chung as Independent Non-Executive Director, Member of the Audit Committee and Member of the Strategy and Investment Committee

GCL Technology Holdings Limited Announces Establishment of Environmental, Social and Governance Committee and Appointment of Committee Members

Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.21 (vs CN¥0.28 loss in FY 2020)

Less than half of directors are independent

Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.21 (vs CN¥0.28 loss in FY 2020)

GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Limited Announces Management Changes

GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Limited Provides Group Earnings Forecast for the Year Ended 31 December 2021

Forecast breakeven date pushed back to 2022

First half 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.099 (vs CN¥0.10 loss in 1H 2020)

Forecast to breakeven in 2021

Insufficient new directors

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

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