Xinyi Solar Holdings Limited

DB:13X Stock Report

Market Cap: €6.0b

Xinyi Solar Holdings Valuation

Is 13X undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 13X when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 13X (€0.66) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€0.81)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 13X is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 13X?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

13X key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA8.3x
PEG Ratio0.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 13X's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 13X vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.3x
AIXA AIXTRON
16.1x11.0%€2.5b
WAF Siltronic
12.1x-12.8%€2.2b
S92 SMA Solar Technology
7.7x-6.3%€1.7b
SMHN SÜSS MicroTec
49.2x17.0%€853.5m
13X Xinyi Solar Holdings
12.1x17.2%€50.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 13X is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x) compared to the peer average (21.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 13X's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Semiconductor Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 13X is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x) compared to the European Semiconductor industry average (15x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 13X's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

13X PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.1x
Fair PE Ratio27.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 13X is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 13X forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.66
€0.80
+21.4%
19.7%€1.35€0.61n/a24
Apr ’25€0.71
€0.80
+12.7%
19.7%€1.35€0.61n/a24
Mar ’25€0.58
€0.77
+32.4%
23.5%€1.36€0.51n/a22
Feb ’25€0.41
€0.95
+130.7%
42.8%€2.02€0.48n/a21
Jan ’25€0.51
€0.99
+92.7%
38.2%€1.99€0.60n/a21
Dec ’24€0.53
€1.11
+108.1%
32.3%€2.01€0.61n/a21
Nov ’24€0.58
€1.19
+103.4%
28.7%€2.08€0.69n/a21
Oct ’24€0.71
€1.26
+76.6%
23.9%€2.05€0.74n/a23
Sep ’24€0.83
€1.23
+48.4%
24.2%€2.00€0.66n/a23
Aug ’24€0.89
€1.31
+47.3%
22.7%€2.01€0.66n/a24
Jul ’24€1.06
€1.46
+38.1%
26.4%€2.53€0.79n/a24
Jun ’24€0.94
€1.46
+56.4%
27.6%€2.57€0.80n/a23
May ’24€0.98
€1.49
+51.8%
26.9%€2.59€0.81€0.6623
Apr ’24€1.10
€1.49
+35.5%
26.9%€2.59€0.81€0.7123
Mar ’24€1.07
€1.51
+41.2%
27.4%€2.59€0.81€0.5824
Feb ’24€1.25
€1.61
+29.1%
26.5%€2.57€0.81€0.4124
Jan ’24€1.03
€1.70
+66.3%
27.1%€2.63€1.05€0.5124
Dec ’23€1.11
€1.77
+59.9%
25.5%€2.66€1.06€0.5323
Nov ’23€1.04
€1.91
+83.3%
23.8%€2.79€1.11€0.5823
Oct ’23€1.06
€2.00
+88.3%
20.4%€2.87€1.25€0.7124
Sep ’23€1.34
€1.94
+45.2%
18.7%€2.70€1.18€0.8323
Aug ’23€1.63
€1.99
+22.0%
17.8%€2.69€1.31€0.8923
Jul ’23€1.48
€1.97
+33.2%
19.6%€2.79€1.27€1.0624
Jun ’23€1.62
€2.02
+24.5%
17.8%€2.78€1.27€0.9424
May ’23€1.39
€1.99
+42.8%
16.9%€2.70€1.23€0.9824

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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