Stock Analysis

Is Infineon Technologies (ETR:IFX) A Risky Investment?

XTRA:IFX
Source: Shutterstock

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Infineon Technologies AG (ETR:IFX) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Infineon Technologies

What Is Infineon Technologies's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Infineon Technologies had debt of €5.43b at the end of March 2023, a reduction from €5.88b over a year. On the flip side, it has €3.45b in cash leading to net debt of about €1.98b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
XTRA:IFX Debt to Equity History July 9th 2023

How Strong Is Infineon Technologies' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Infineon Technologies had liabilities of €5.22b due within 12 months and liabilities of €6.03b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €3.45b as well as receivables valued at €2.11b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €5.69b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given Infineon Technologies has a humongous market capitalization of €46.6b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Infineon Technologies's net debt is only 0.36 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 44.1 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. On top of that, Infineon Technologies grew its EBIT by 66% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Infineon Technologies's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Infineon Technologies produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 56% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

The good news is that Infineon Technologies's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And the good news does not stop there, as its EBIT growth rate also supports that impression! Zooming out, Infineon Technologies seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Infineon Technologies, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.