Stock Analysis

Here's Why Elmos Semiconductor (ETR:ELG) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

XTRA:ELG
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Elmos Semiconductor SE (ETR:ELG) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

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What Is Elmos Semiconductor's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Elmos Semiconductor had €103.9m of debt at June 2024, down from €109.9m a year prior. However, it also had €26.0m in cash, and so its net debt is €77.8m.

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XTRA:ELG Debt to Equity History October 22nd 2024

How Strong Is Elmos Semiconductor's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Elmos Semiconductor had liabilities of €183.1m due within 12 months, and liabilities of €111.8m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had €26.0m in cash and €110.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €158.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, Elmos Semiconductor has a market capitalization of €1.08b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Elmos Semiconductor's net debt is only 0.43 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 89.3 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. And we also note warmly that Elmos Semiconductor grew its EBIT by 13% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Elmos Semiconductor can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Elmos Semiconductor actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.

Our View

Elmos Semiconductor's interest cover was a real positive on this analysis, as was its net debt to EBITDA. In contrast, our confidence was undermined by its apparent struggle to convert EBIT to free cash flow. Considering this range of data points, we think Elmos Semiconductor is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Elmos Semiconductor you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.