Stock Analysis

Douglas AG's (FRA:DOU) Share Price Matching Investor Opinion

DB:DOU
Source: Shutterstock

It's not a stretch to say that Douglas AG's (FRA:DOU) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Specialty Retail industry in Germany, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.3x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for Douglas

ps-multiple-vs-industry
DB:DOU Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 11th 2024

How Douglas Has Been Performing

Recent times have been advantageous for Douglas as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this strong revenue performance might be about to tail off. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

Keen to find out how analysts think Douglas' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Douglas' Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Douglas' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 8.7% last year. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 40% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 6.5% per annum as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 6.3% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why Douglas is trading at a fairly similar P/S to the industry. Apparently shareholders are comfortable to simply hold on while the company is keeping a low profile.

What Does Douglas' P/S Mean For Investors?

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our look at Douglas' revenue growth estimates show that its P/S is about what we expect, as both metrics follow closely with the industry averages. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in revenue isn't great enough to push P/S in a higher or lower direction. If all things remain constant, the possibility of a drastic share price movement remains fairly remote.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Douglas with six simple checks.

If you're unsure about the strength of Douglas' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.