Amazon.com, Inc.

DB:AMZ Stock Report

Market Cap: €2.3t

Amazon.com Valuation

Is AMZ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AMZ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AMZ (€214.85) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€324.51)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AMZ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AMZ?

Key metric: As AMZ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AMZ. This is calculated by dividing AMZ's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AMZ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio47.4x
EarningsUS$49.87b
Market CapUS$2.37t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AMZ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AMZ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.1x
BABA Alibaba Group Holding
15.9x14.9%US$186.6b
PRX Prosus
12.4x1.9%€94.7b
PDD PDD Holdings
9.3x13.9%US$138.2b
WES Wesfarmers
30.9x8.2%AU$79.0b
AMZ Amazon.com
47.4x19.3%€2.4t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AMZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.4x) compared to the peer average (30x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AMZ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Multiline Retail Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AMZ 47.4xIndustry Avg. 22.1xNo. of Companies24PE01632486480+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AMZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.4x) compared to the Global Multiline Retail industry average (22.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AMZ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AMZ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio47.4x
Fair PE Ratio33.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AMZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AMZ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€214.85
€229.94
+7.0%
8.8%€273.14€172.51n/a64
Dec ’25€196.82
€223.83
+13.7%
7.4%€272.03€171.81n/a64
Nov ’25€182.90
€210.91
+15.3%
8.5%€263.00€166.10n/a62
Oct ’25€167.54
€198.19
+18.3%
7.8%€238.00€161.66n/a59
Sep ’25€160.94
€197.66
+22.8%
7.0%€226.63€162.52n/a58
Aug ’25€170.48
€205.81
+20.7%
6.7%€231.25€166.50n/a59
Jul ’25€183.54
€204.59
+11.5%
6.0%€228.17€167.63n/a58
Jun ’25€161.46
€202.32
+25.3%
6.0%€226.23€166.21n/a57
May ’25€164.96
€201.58
+22.2%
6.7%€229.15€149.65n/a57
Apr ’25€167.00
€192.43
+15.2%
6.5%€214.13€139.65n/a56
Mar ’25€164.88
€188.45
+14.3%
8.2%€212.54€138.62n/a56
Feb ’25€146.30
€170.12
+16.3%
9.0%€212.36€138.50n/a52
Jan ’25€138.60
€160.92
+16.1%
10.2%€208.84€124.21n/a53
Dec ’24€135.00
€159.94
+18.5%
9.9%€211.49€125.79€196.8252
Nov ’24€129.72
€163.19
+25.8%
10.1%€217.67€128.71€182.9051
Oct ’24€120.12
€159.88
+33.1%
10.6%€215.37€126.41€167.5449
Sep ’24€127.50
€155.63
+22.1%
11.2%€210.61€118.95€160.9451
Aug ’24€120.40
€133.86
+11.2%
13.1%€200.07€90.03€170.4852
Jul ’24€119.50
€130.98
+9.6%
13.5%€201.56€82.46€183.5451
Jun ’24€114.24
€128.97
+12.9%
13.8%€205.06€83.89€161.4647
May ’24€96.50
€126.44
+31.0%
14.3%€200.53€82.04€164.9648
Apr ’24€95.33
€129.27
+35.6%
14.4%€206.29€84.39€167.0049
Mar ’24€86.40
€128.95
+49.3%
13.9%€196.52€84.22€164.8849
Feb ’24€95.65
€123.65
+29.3%
15.6%€191.16€72.82€146.3048
Jan ’24€78.13
€133.10
+70.4%
17.7%€235.90€75.49€138.6048
Dec ’23€91.00
€136.56
+50.1%
16.6%€237.50€97.85€135.0047

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 01:36
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Amazon.com, Inc. is covered by 100 analysts. 63 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Kadambari DaptardarAccountability Research Corporation
Rocco StraussArete Research Services LLP
James KelleherArgus Research Company