As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But its virtually certain that sometimes you will buy stocks that fall short of the market average returns. We regret to report that long term TAKKT AG (ETR:TTK) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 43% in three years, versus a market decline of about 4.8%. Unhappily, the share price slid 1.1% in the last week.
Check out our latest analysis for TAKKT
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
TAKKT saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 17% per year, over the last three years. So do you think it's a coincidence that the share price has dropped 17% per year, a very similar rate to the EPS? We don't. So it seems that investor expectations of the company are staying pretty steady, despite the disappointment. It seems like the share price is reflecting the declining earnings per share.
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
This free interactive report on TAKKT's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
We've already covered TAKKT's share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Its history of dividend payouts mean that TAKKT's TSR, which was a 29% drop over the last 3 years, was not as bad as the share price return.
A Different Perspective
Investors in TAKKT had a tough year, with a total loss of 3.2%, against a market gain of about 5.2%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. However, the loss over the last year isn't as bad as the 3% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. We would want clear information suggesting the company will grow, before taking the view that the share price will stabilize. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with TAKKT .
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on DE exchanges.
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About XTRA:TTK
TAKKT
Operates as a B2B direct marketing company for business equipment in Germany, the rest of Europe, and the United States, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.