Fielmann Group AG Just Missed EPS By 33%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Fielmann Group AG (ETR:FIE) just released its latest third-quarter report and things are not looking great. Results showed a clear earnings miss, with €604m revenue coming in 3.6% lower than what the analystsexpected. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) of €0.47 missed the mark badly, arriving some 33% below what was expected. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Fielmann Group after the latest results.

Check out our latest analysis for Fielmann Group

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Fielmann Group's seven analysts is for revenues of €2.45b in 2025. This would reflect a decent 14% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to shoot up 35% to €2.27. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of €2.46b and earnings per share (EPS) of €2.30 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

The analysts reconfirmed their price target of €56.51, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Fielmann Group at €66.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at €44.60. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Fielmann Group's past performance and to peers in the same industry. The analysts are definitely expecting Fielmann Group's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 11% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 8.4% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 5.8% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Fielmann Group to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Fielmann Group. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have estimates - from multiple Fielmann Group analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Fielmann Group , and understanding this should be part of your investment process.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.