Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Ceconomy AG (ETR:CEC) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Ceconomy
What Is Ceconomy's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2021 Ceconomy had debt of €797.0m, up from €283.0m in one year. However, it does have €1.86b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of €1.06b.
A Look At Ceconomy's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Ceconomy had liabilities of €7.22b falling due within a year, and liabilities of €2.69b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €1.86b and €1.74b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling €6.32b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the €1.37b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Ceconomy would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. Ceconomy boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load, even if it does have very significant liabilities, in total.
It is just as well that Ceconomy's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 46% over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Ceconomy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Ceconomy has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Ceconomy actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Summing up
While Ceconomy does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of €1.06b. The cherry on top was that in converted 230% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in €309m. Despite the cash, we do find Ceconomy's level of total liabilities concerning, so we're not particularly comfortable with the stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Ceconomy you should know about.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:CEC
Reasonable growth potential and fair value.