Americold Realty Trust, Inc.

DB:YAR Stock Report

Market Cap: €5.9b

Americold Realty Trust Valuation

Is YAR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of YAR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€39.75
Fair Value
47.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
15
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: YAR (€20.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€39.75)

Significantly Below Fair Value: YAR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for YAR?

Key metric: As YAR is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for YAR. This is calculated by dividing YAR's market cap by their current revenue.
What is YAR's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.3x
SalesUS$2.68b
Market CapUS$6.10b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does YAR's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for YAR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8x
STAG STAG Industrial
8.3x9.5%US$6.2b
AOX alstria office REIT-AG
4.2x-1.5%€1.0b
M44U Mapletree Logistics Trust
8.5x4.4%S$6.2b
FR First Industrial Realty Trust
10.9x7.5%US$7.2b
YAR Americold Realty Trust
2.3x6.9%€6.1b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: YAR is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x) compared to the peer average (8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does YAR's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Industrial REITs Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
YAR 2.3xIndustry Avg. 8.4xNo. of Companies10PS048121620+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: YAR is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x) compared to the Global Industrial REITs industry average (8.4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is YAR's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

YAR PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.3x
Fair PS Ratio4.7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: YAR is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst YAR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€20.80
€27.17
+30.6%
8.7%€30.60€21.37n/a15
Jan ’26€20.20
€27.14
+34.4%
8.8%€30.28€21.15n/a15
Dec ’25€22.40
€27.87
+24.4%
8.9%€31.44€20.96n/a14
Nov ’25€23.40
€29.48
+26.0%
5.6%€31.43€25.89n/a14
Oct ’25€25.00
€28.53
+14.1%
7.2%€30.66€22.55n/a15
Sep ’25€26.20
€28.10
+7.3%
7.5%€30.59€22.49n/a15
Aug ’25€27.80
€28.04
+0.8%
7.7%€30.81€22.40n/a15
Jul ’25€23.80
€28.04
+17.8%
7.7%€30.81€22.40n/a15
Jun ’25€24.40
€27.62
+13.2%
8.0%€30.42€22.12n/a14
May ’25€20.60
€28.13
+36.6%
9.9%€32.63€22.37n/a14
Apr ’25€23.00
€28.54
+24.1%
8.3%€32.59€23.28n/a13
Mar ’25€24.00
€30.03
+25.1%
6.9%€34.23€25.91n/a12
Feb ’25€26.00
€30.94
+19.0%
6.7%€34.04€25.76€21.0011
Jan ’25€27.60
€30.17
+9.3%
7.4%€34.01€25.74€20.2011
Dec ’24€26.40
€30.43
+15.3%
7.2%€34.02€25.75€22.4011
Nov ’24€25.20
€33.06
+31.2%
6.0%€36.75€30.15€23.4011
Oct ’24€28.80
€33.18
+15.2%
6.1%€36.50€29.95€25.0011
Sep ’24€31.00
€32.57
+5.1%
6.4%€36.10€29.62€26.2011
Aug ’24€29.60
€31.10
+5.1%
5.9%€35.02€28.73€27.8011
Jul ’24€29.40
€31.58
+7.4%
5.8%€35.81€29.38€23.8010
Jun ’24€27.00
€31.77
+17.7%
6.0%€35.86€29.42€24.409
May ’24€26.80
€30.78
+14.8%
5.9%€35.60€29.21€20.609
Apr ’24€26.20
€30.99
+18.3%
6.3%€35.95€28.58€23.009
Mar ’24€27.40
€31.20
+13.9%
7.0%€36.77€28.28€24.0010
Feb ’24€28.60
€29.87
+4.5%
7.6%€34.82€25.66€26.0010
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
€26.91
Fair Value
22.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
15
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/04 18:15
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/04 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Americold Realty Trust, Inc. is covered by 24 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David RodgersBaird
Anthony PowellBarclays
Anthony PowellBarclays