COPT Defense Properties Valuation

Is WX7 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WX7 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: WX7 (€31.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€53.26)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WX7 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WX7?

Key metric: As WX7 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for WX7. This is calculated by dividing WX7's market cap by their current earnings.
What is WX7's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio27x
EarningsUS$136.97m
Market CapUS$3.75b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WX7's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WX7 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average31.1x
HIW Highwoods Properties
24.3x-32.2%US$3.5b
8954 ORIX JREIT
20xn/aJP¥460.1b
EMBASSY Embassy Office Parks REIT
16x-17.3%₹354.5b
HABA Hamborner REIT
64.2x10.8%€525.5m
WX7 COPT Defense Properties
27x4.0%€3.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WX7 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27x) compared to the peer average (31.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WX7's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Office REITs Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
WX7 27.0xIndustry Avg. 20.7xNo. of Companies8PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WX7 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27x) compared to the Global Office REITs industry average (21x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WX7's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WX7 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio27x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate WX7's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WX7 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€31.00
€33.52
+8.1%
4.5%€35.15€31.35n/a7
Nov ’25€29.20
€31.24
+7.0%
7.0%€34.14€27.68n/a7
Oct ’25€27.60
€28.66
+3.8%
3.5%€29.55€26.87n/a8
Sep ’25€26.80
€28.14
+5.0%
8.1%€29.86€23.52n/a10
Aug ’25€26.60
€27.15
+2.1%
10.0%€30.58€23.17n/a10
Jul ’25€23.00
€26.20
+13.9%
8.1%€30.55€23.15n/a10
Jun ’25€22.60
€26.20
+15.9%
8.1%€30.55€23.15n/a10
May ’25€22.40
€26.40
+17.8%
8.1%€30.78€23.32n/a10
Apr ’25€22.20
€26.16
+17.8%
8.3%€30.72€23.28n/a10
Mar ’25€22.60
€26.43
+17.0%
7.2%€30.50€24.03n/a10
Feb ’25€21.40
€26.05
+21.7%
7.7%€30.16€23.76n/a10
Jan ’25€23.00
€25.72
+11.8%
7.7%€29.89€23.55n/a10
Dec ’24€23.40
€25.83
+10.4%
8.7%€30.12€21.90n/a10
Nov ’24€21.40
€27.25
+27.4%
11.3%€33.12€22.71€29.2010
Oct ’24€22.40
€27.51
+22.8%
11.0%€32.83€21.57€27.609
Sep ’24€24.20
€27.23
+12.5%
11.0%€32.49€21.35€26.809
Aug ’24€23.40
€26.10
+11.5%
11.7%€31.87€20.94€26.609
Jul ’24€21.60
€26.45
+22.5%
11.6%€32.42€22.23€23.009
Jun ’24€20.80
€26.31
+26.5%
12.0%€32.62€22.37€22.609
May ’24€20.40
€26.02
+27.5%
11.2%€31.76€21.78€22.409
Apr ’24€21.40
€26.84
+25.4%
10.1%€32.28€23.06€22.2010
Mar ’24€24.00
€28.73
+19.7%
8.3%€33.08€23.63€22.6010
Feb ’24€25.00
€28.01
+12.1%
8.6%€32.24€23.03€21.4012
Jan ’24€24.20
€28.72
+18.7%
8.3%€32.96€24.49€23.0012
Dec ’23€25.20
€28.82
+14.4%
8.4%€33.25€24.70€23.4012
Nov ’23€26.60
€30.28
+13.8%
9.9%€34.12€25.09€21.4012

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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