SEGRO Valuation

Is S4VC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of S4VC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: S4VC (€9.15) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€6.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: S4VC is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for S4VC?

Key metric: As S4VC is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for S4VC. This is calculated by dividing S4VC's market cap by their current revenue.
What is S4VC's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio14.2x
SalesUK£734.00m
Market CapUK£10.45b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does S4VC's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for S4VC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.5x
LINE Lineage
2.7x5.5%US$16.1b
EGP EastGroup Properties
13.5x11.2%US$8.5b
A17U CapitaLand Ascendas REIT
7.3x2.6%S$11.3b
REXR Rexford Industrial Realty
10.3x12.8%US$9.7b
S4VC SEGRO
14.2x5.2%€10.4b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: S4VC is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (14.2x) compared to the peer average (8.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does S4VC's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Industrial REITs Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
S4VC 14.2xIndustry Avg. 8.4xNo. of Companies12PS048121620+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: S4VC is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (14.2x) compared to the Global Industrial REITs industry average (8.4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is S4VC's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

S4VC PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio14.2x
Fair PS Ratio18.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: S4VC is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (14.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (18.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst S4VC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€9.15
€11.78
+28.7%
8.7%€13.81€9.66n/a14
Nov ’25€9.25
€11.88
+28.4%
7.9%€13.82€10.34n/a12
Oct ’25€10.50
€11.79
+12.3%
8.1%€13.79€10.32n/a12
Sep ’25€10.20
€11.49
+12.7%
7.8%€13.49€9.96n/a17
Aug ’25€10.90
€11.59
+6.3%
7.9%€13.62€10.07n/a17
Jul ’25€10.50
€11.61
+10.5%
7.6%€13.53€10.00n/a17
Jun ’25€10.60
€11.46
+8.1%
7.7%€12.56€9.52n/a18
May ’25€9.85
€11.39
+15.6%
7.8%€12.60€9.45n/a18
Apr ’25€10.40
€11.18
+7.5%
9.1%€12.62€9.05n/a18
Mar ’25€9.90
€10.97
+10.8%
9.9%€12.49€9.05n/a18
Feb ’25€10.10
€10.69
+5.8%
12.4%€12.53€7.54n/a17
Jan ’25€10.00
€10.03
+0.3%
12.2%€12.17€7.45n/a16
Dec ’24€9.35
€9.89
+5.8%
13.7%€12.27€6.78n/a16
Nov ’24€7.85
€9.83
+25.3%
13.9%€12.06€6.66€9.2517
Oct ’24€8.20
€9.98
+21.7%
11.7%€12.11€7.41€10.5018
Sep ’24€8.45
€10.22
+21.0%
12.9%€12.20€7.06€10.2018
Aug ’24€8.80
€10.46
+18.9%
11.9%€12.25€7.09€10.9018
Jul ’24€8.25
€10.66
+29.2%
11.7%€12.33€7.60€10.5018
Jun ’24€9.15
€10.62
+16.1%
11.9%€12.90€7.49€10.6018
May ’24€9.10
€10.38
+14.0%
15.6%€12.76€5.96€9.8520
Apr ’24€8.50
€10.39
+22.2%
15.4%€12.74€5.95€10.4020
Mar ’24€9.15
€10.34
+13.0%
14.2%€12.70€5.93€9.9021
Feb ’24€9.90
€10.63
+7.4%
18.2%€15.80€5.96€10.1021
Jan ’24€9.05
€10.76
+18.9%
19.7%€16.14€6.08€10.0021
Dec ’23€9.35
€10.82
+15.7%
19.6%€16.16€6.09€9.3521
Nov ’23€9.25
€11.17
+20.7%
22.5%€16.28€6.08€7.8520

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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