Kimco Realty Valuation

Is KIC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KIC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KIC (€24) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€30.29)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KIC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KIC?

Key metric: As KIC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for KIC. This is calculated by dividing KIC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is KIC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio48.6x
EarningsUS$354.14m
Market CapUS$17.10b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KIC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KIC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average39.8x
HABA Hamborner REIT
63.7x11.0%€521.4m
REG Regency Centers
34.4x4.4%US$13.4b
SCG Scentre Group
44x21.7%AU$18.9b
C38U CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust
17x2.8%S$14.3b
KIC Kimco Realty
48.6x13.0%€17.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KIC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (48.6x) compared to the peer average (39.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KIC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Retail REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
KIC 48.6xIndustry Avg. 22.5xNo. of Companies4PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KIC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (48.6x) compared to the European Retail REITs industry average (22.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KIC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KIC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio48.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate KIC's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KIC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€24.00
€24.56
+2.3%
8.7%€28.81€19.21n/a20
Nov ’25€21.80
€22.50
+3.2%
7.6%€26.66€18.39n/a20
Oct ’25€20.80
€21.83
+5.0%
7.9%€26.11€18.01n/a20
Sep ’25€21.00
€21.21
+1.0%
9.0%€26.09€17.99n/a20
Aug ’25€20.20
€20.63
+2.1%
8.4%€24.09€18.53n/a19
Jul ’25€17.90
€20.69
+15.6%
9.0%€24.32€18.70n/a20
Jun ’25€17.80
€20.48
+15.1%
8.7%€23.96€18.43n/a20
May ’25€17.40
€20.83
+19.7%
8.1%€23.99€18.46n/a20
Apr ’25€18.10
€21.17
+17.0%
7.5%€24.06€18.51n/a20
Mar ’25€18.10
€21.47
+18.6%
7.4%€23.99€18.20n/a20
Feb ’25€18.80
€21.77
+15.8%
5.9%€24.01€19.39n/a20
Jan ’25€19.70
€20.78
+5.5%
9.3%€23.54€18.11n/a18
Dec ’24€18.30
€20.34
+11.2%
8.6%€23.91€18.39n/a18
Nov ’24€17.00
€20.68
+21.7%
9.8%€24.63€18.00€21.8018
Oct ’24€16.60
€21.57
+29.9%
7.4%€24.60€18.92€20.8018
Sep ’24€17.40
€20.97
+20.5%
7.5%€24.27€18.31€21.0018
Aug ’24€18.30
€21.10
+15.3%
6.6%€24.10€18.19€20.2019
Jul ’24€17.90
€21.04
+17.6%
9.9%€24.62€16.73€17.9019
Jun ’24€16.80
€21.03
+25.2%
9.6%€24.73€16.80€17.8021
May ’24€17.30
€21.07
+21.8%
7.4%€24.15€18.23€17.4020
Apr ’24€17.90
€21.70
+21.2%
7.7%€24.43€18.44€18.1020
Mar ’24€19.10
€22.65
+18.6%
6.3%€25.52€19.85€18.1019
Feb ’24€20.40
€22.25
+9.1%
7.5%€25.02€18.53€18.8020
Jan ’24€19.80
€22.38
+13.0%
7.5%€25.27€18.72€19.7020
Dec ’23€21.40
€22.92
+7.1%
7.0%€26.15€19.37€18.3020
Nov ’23€21.80
€23.75
+9.0%
7.0%€27.33€20.25€17.0020

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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