Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust

DB:5G8 Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.7b

Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust Valuation

Is 5G8 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 5G8 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 5G8 (€12.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€20.61)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 5G8 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 5G8?

Key metric: As 5G8 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 5G8. This is calculated by dividing 5G8's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 5G8's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio4.4x
SalesCA$590.25m
Market CapCA$2.57b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 5G8's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 5G8 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.9x
AOX alstria office REIT-AG
5.1x-1.5%€1.2b
HABA Hamborner REIT
4.9x1.7%€521.4m
3234 Mori Hills REIT Investment
10.8x-2.0%JP¥240.5b
8976 Daiwa Office Investment
10.6x3.2%JP¥289.7b
5G8 Allied Properties Real Estate Investment Trust
4.4x12.1%€2.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 5G8 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.4x) compared to the peer average (7.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 5G8's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Office REITs Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
5G8 4.4xIndustry Avg. 8.3xNo. of Companies5PS0612182430+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 5G8 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.4x) compared to the European Office REITs industry average (8.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 5G8's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

5G8 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio4.4x
Fair PS Ratio6.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 5G8 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 5G8 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€12.30
€13.28
+7.9%
6.7%€15.21€12.23n/a9
Nov ’25€11.62
€13.28
+14.3%
6.7%€15.21€12.23n/a9
Oct ’25€13.43
€12.88
-4.1%
8.4%€15.32€11.99n/a9
Sep ’25€11.56
€12.88
+11.4%
7.9%€15.03€11.69n/a9
Aug ’25€10.83
€12.88
+18.9%
7.9%€15.03€11.69n/a9
Jul ’25€10.13
€13.35
+31.9%
6.5%€15.28€12.56n/a9
Jun ’25€11.29
€13.35
+18.3%
6.5%€15.28€12.56n/a9
May ’25€11.39
€13.52
+18.7%
6.4%€15.30€12.75n/a9
Apr ’25€11.84
€13.92
+17.6%
7.4%€16.32€12.92n/a9
Mar ’25€11.66
€14.33
+22.9%
7.6%€16.43€13.35n/a9
Feb ’25€12.11
€14.74
+21.7%
6.5%€16.15€13.40n/a10
Jan ’25€13.51
€14.64
+8.3%
9.3%€17.10€13.00n/a10
Dec ’24€12.51
€14.17
+13.3%
7.9%€17.03€12.95n/a10
Nov ’24€11.14
€14.17
+27.2%
7.9%€17.03€12.95€11.6210
Oct ’24€12.41
€18.06
+45.6%
7.1%€21.04€16.55€13.4311
Sep ’24€14.12
€18.06
+27.8%
7.1%€21.04€16.55€11.5611
Aug ’24€14.90
€18.06
+21.2%
7.1%€21.04€16.55€10.8311
Jul ’24€14.92
€20.47
+37.2%
10.5%€24.99€17.18€10.1311
Jun ’24€15.31
€20.19
+31.8%
10.7%€24.01€16.51€11.2911
May ’24€14.97
€20.74
+38.5%
11.8%€24.45€16.58€11.3911
Apr ’24€16.33
€24.64
+50.9%
5.1%€27.30€22.29€11.8410
Mar ’24€19.06
€24.64
+29.3%
5.1%€27.30€22.29€11.6610
Feb ’24€20.22
€24.63
+21.8%
5.5%€27.06€22.09€12.1110
Jan ’24€17.50
€25.83
+47.6%
14.0%€36.01€21.47€13.5111
Dec ’23€18.37
€28.05
+52.7%
12.3%€38.36€24.89€12.5111
Nov ’23€19.34
€28.05
+45.0%
12.3%€38.36€24.89€11.1411

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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