Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation

DB:59JA Stock Report

Market Cap: €4.0b

Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Valuation

Is 59JA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 59JA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 59JA (€565) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€274.61)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 59JA is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 59JA?

Key metric: As 59JA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 59JA. This is calculated by dividing 59JA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 59JA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.6x
EarningsJP¥31.71b
Market CapJP¥652.39b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 59JA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 59JA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average46.7x
HABA Hamborner REIT
63x11.0%€515.7m
SKT Tanger
42.6x1.8%US$4.2b
REI.UN RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust
24.7x28.3%CA$5.7b
MAC Macerich
56.7x-32.8%US$4.6b
59JA Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment
20.6x7.8%€652.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 59JA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.6x) compared to the peer average (46.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 59JA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Retail REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
59JA 20.6xIndustry Avg. 22.5xNo. of Companies4PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 59JA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.6x) compared to the European Retail REITs industry average (22.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 59JA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

59JA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 59JA's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 59JA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€565.00
€653.25
+15.6%
7.3%€738.76€597.16n/a9
Nov ’25€560.00
€642.08
+14.7%
5.8%€704.91€594.58n/a8
Oct ’25€605.00
€619.48
+2.4%
5.6%€689.97€575.98n/a8
Sep ’25€575.00
€619.48
+7.7%
5.6%€689.97€575.98n/a8
Aug ’25€575.00
€619.48
+7.7%
5.6%€689.97€575.98n/a8
Jul ’25€510.00
€616.65
+20.9%
5.3%€678.61€572.39n/a8
Jun ’25€545.00
€621.11
+14.0%
4.5%€677.04€582.84n/a8
May ’25€570.00
€630.20
+10.6%
5.2%€680.86€586.13n/a9
Apr ’25€565.00
€658.94
+16.6%
5.1%€706.01€607.78n/a9
Mar ’25€530.00
€664.60
+25.4%
5.1%€712.07€613.00n/a9
Feb ’25€615.00
€679.69
+10.5%
5.1%€728.24€626.92n/a9
Jan ’25€600.00
€689.70
+15.0%
4.4%€732.90€630.93n/a9
Dec ’24€590.00
€660.83
+12.0%
4.4%€703.01€605.20n/a10
Nov ’24€610.00
€678.37
+11.2%
4.5%€724.35€623.57€560.0010
Oct ’24€605.00
€670.52
+10.8%
5.2%€732.29€624.04€605.0010
Sep ’24€610.00
€670.52
+9.9%
5.2%€732.29€624.04€575.0010
Aug ’24€600.00
€670.52
+11.8%
5.2%€732.29€624.04€575.0010
Jul ’24€600.00
€675.29
+12.5%
6.5%€762.32€622.56€510.0010
Jun ’24€630.00
€713.25
+13.2%
6.6%€805.78€658.05€545.0010
May ’24€655.00
€708.12
+8.1%
6.7%€795.50€649.66€570.0010
Apr ’24€655.00
€789.82
+20.6%
6.3%€854.28€708.42€565.0010
Mar ’24€690.00
€818.61
+18.6%
5.2%€877.50€749.08€530.0011
Feb ’24€700.00
€818.61
+16.9%
5.2%€877.50€749.08€615.0011
Jan ’24€730.00
€786.41
+7.7%
5.1%€841.65€718.48€600.0011
Dec ’23€730.00
€786.41
+7.7%
5.1%€841.65€718.48€590.0011
Nov ’23€745.00
€776.18
+4.2%
4.7%€830.52€714.79€610.0011

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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