Paragon REIT Valuation

Is 50E undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 50E when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 50E (€0.52) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€0.86)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 50E is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 50E?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

50E key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue12.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA18.6x
PEG Ratio5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 50E's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 50E vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.8x
GIB GSW Immobilien
8.4xn/a€5.0b
CRR.UN Crombie Real Estate Investment Trust
23.8xn/aCA$2.3b
ROIC Retail Opportunity Investments
42.3x-0.5%US$1.7b
3292 AEON REIT Investment
20.8x1.6%JP¥291.8b
50E Paragon REIT
17.3x3.5%€2.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 50E is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.3x) compared to the peer average (28.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 50E's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Retail REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a42.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a42.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 50E is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.3x) compared to the European Retail REITs industry average (23.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 50E's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

50E PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.3x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 50E's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 50E forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.52
€0.66
+25.5%
9.9%€0.72€0.59n/a2
Apr ’25€0.52
€0.66
+26.0%
9.9%€0.72€0.59n/a2
Mar ’25€0.52
€0.66
+27.5%
9.9%€0.72€0.59n/a2
Feb ’25€0.55
€0.66
+19.7%
8.8%€0.72€0.60n/a2
Jan ’25€0.56
€0.67
+21.0%
7.3%€0.72€0.61n/a3
Dec ’24€0.51
€0.67
+31.6%
7.3%€0.72€0.61n/a3
Nov ’24€0.50
€0.69
+36.9%
2.1%€0.71€0.67n/a3
Oct ’24€0.53
€0.69
+30.5%
2.1%€0.71€0.67n/a3
Sep ’24€0.54
€0.69
+27.0%
2.1%€0.71€0.67n/a3
Aug ’24€0.62
€0.70
+13.0%
4.3%€0.74€0.67n/a3
Jul ’24€0.62
€0.73
+19.1%
3.5%€0.77€0.70n/a3
Jun ’24€0.63
€0.73
+16.8%
3.5%€0.77€0.70n/a3
May ’24€0.61
€0.73
+20.8%
3.5%€0.77€0.70n/a3
Apr ’24€0.63
€0.73
+17.5%
3.5%€0.77€0.70€0.523
Mar ’24€0.65
€0.72
+11.3%
5.0%€0.77€0.67€0.524
Feb ’24€0.65
€0.69
+6.3%
6.7%€0.77€0.65€0.554
Jan ’24€0.61
€0.66
+9.4%
1.4%€0.67€0.65€0.564
Dec ’23€0.61
€0.67
+11.0%
1.6%€0.68€0.66€0.515
Nov ’23€0.58
€0.68
+16.5%
1.4%€0.69€0.67€0.506
Oct ’23€0.60
€0.68
+13.8%
3.2%€0.72€0.66€0.535
Sep ’23€0.64
€0.68
+5.9%
3.2%€0.72€0.66€0.545
Aug ’23€0.64
€0.68
+5.9%
3.2%€0.72€0.66€0.625
Jul ’23€0.62
€0.65
+4.6%
1.0%€0.65€0.63€0.625
Jun ’23€0.62
€0.64
+3.5%
2.1%€0.65€0.61€0.636
May ’23€0.65
€0.64
-1.4%
1.2%€0.65€0.62€0.617
Apr ’23€0.62
€0.64
+3.4%
2.6%€0.67€0.61€0.637

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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