Tritax Big Box REIT Valuation
Is 4ZQ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 4ZQ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 4ZQ (€1.84) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€2.19)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 4ZQ is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4ZQ?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is 4ZQ's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | UK£3.98b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 23.8x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 26.3x |
| PEG Ratio | 1x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does 4ZQ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 35.5x | ||
ME8U Mapletree Industrial Trust | 61.3x | 23.3% | S$7.0b |
3283 Nippon Prologis REIT | 28.9x | 1.8% | JP¥712.6b |
WDP Warehouses De Pauw | 26.4x | 30.6% | €5.5b |
M44U Mapletree Logistics Trust | 25.2x | 9.1% | S$7.3b |
4ZQ Tritax Big Box REIT | 25.5x | 25.9% | €4.0b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4ZQ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.5x) compared to the peer average (35.2x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 4ZQ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Industrial REITs Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4ZQ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.5x) compared to the Global Industrial REITs industry average (23x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 4ZQ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 25.5x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 4ZQ's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | €1.84 | €2.24 +21.7% | 8.9% | €2.52 | €1.81 | n/a | 11 |
| Sep ’25 | €1.83 | €2.17 +18.7% | 8.5% | €2.49 | €1.79 | n/a | 11 |
| Aug ’25 | €1.87 | €2.17 +16.2% | 8.5% | €2.49 | €1.79 | n/a | 11 |
| Jul ’25 | €1.74 | €2.17 +24.9% | 8.5% | €2.49 | €1.79 | n/a | 11 |
| Jun ’25 | €1.78 | €2.16 +21.1% | 8.9% | €2.47 | €1.78 | n/a | 10 |
| May ’25 | €1.70 | €2.10 +23.3% | 9.2% | €2.45 | €1.76 | n/a | 9 |
| Apr ’25 | €1.75 | €2.04 +16.7% | 10.5% | €2.45 | €1.75 | n/a | 9 |
| Mar ’25 | €1.65 | €2.02 +22.7% | 11.3% | €2.46 | €1.76 | n/a | 9 |
| Feb ’25 | €1.88 | €2.07 +9.9% | 9.4% | €2.46 | €1.81 | n/a | 12 |
| Jan ’25 | €1.86 | €1.97 +5.8% | 7.7% | €2.26 | €1.80 | n/a | 12 |
| Dec ’24 | €1.71 | €1.92 +12.3% | 7.8% | €2.16 | €1.64 | n/a | 12 |
| Nov ’24 | €1.51 | €1.94 +28.4% | 9.7% | €2.36 | €1.61 | n/a | 14 |
| Oct ’24 | €1.52 | €1.96 +28.8% | 9.9% | €2.36 | €1.61 | n/a | 13 |
| Sep ’24 | €1.59 | €1.99 +25.2% | 10.9% | €2.51 | €1.63 | €1.83 | 13 |
| Aug ’24 | €1.55 | €1.92 +23.6% | 10.3% | €2.37 | €1.62 | €1.87 | 13 |
| Jul ’24 | €1.39 | €1.95 +40.0% | 10.2% | €2.38 | €1.63 | €1.74 | 12 |
| Jun ’24 | €1.57 | €1.98 +25.8% | 10.8% | €2.35 | €1.61 | €1.78 | 11 |
| May ’24 | €1.64 | €1.96 +19.4% | 10.4% | €2.34 | €1.59 | €1.70 | 12 |
| Apr ’24 | €1.51 | €1.96 +30.1% | 9.6% | €2.33 | €1.71 | €1.75 | 12 |
| Mar ’24 | €1.62 | €1.92 +18.6% | 9.8% | €2.25 | €1.69 | €1.65 | 13 |
| Feb ’24 | €1.70 | €1.96 +15.1% | 12.5% | €2.45 | €1.57 | €1.88 | 13 |
| Jan ’24 | €1.53 | €2.05 +34.2% | 19.3% | €2.95 | €1.55 | €1.86 | 13 |
| Dec ’23 | €1.59 | €2.03 +27.9% | 18.9% | €2.91 | €1.52 | €1.71 | 13 |
| Nov ’23 | €1.56 | €2.09 +34.3% | 18.7% | €2.95 | €1.55 | €1.51 | 13 |
| Oct ’23 | €1.40 | €2.33 +66.6% | 20.1% | €3.36 | €1.54 | €1.52 | 11 |
| Sep ’23 | €1.84 | €2.65 +44.0% | 17.9% | €3.41 | €2.16 | €1.59 | 11 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.