FIBRA Prologis Valuation

Is FIBRAPL 14 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FIBRAPL 14 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FIBRAPL 14 (MX$62.97) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$44.32)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FIBRAPL 14 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FIBRAPL 14?

Key metric: As FIBRAPL 14 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FIBRAPL 14. This is calculated by dividing FIBRAPL 14's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FIBRAPL 14's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio4.5x
EarningsMex$21.39b
Market CapMex$99.03b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FIBRAPL 14's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FIBRAPL 14 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.1x
TERRA 13 FIBRA Terrafina
8.1x-9.3%Mex$28.3b
FIBRAMQ 12 FIBRA Macquarie México
2.5x-53.6%Mex$25.8b
FUNO 11 Fibra UNO
7.1x-1.4%Mex$83.3b
FSITES 20 Fideicomiso Opsimex
62.7xn/aMex$88.1b
FIBRAPL 14 FIBRA Prologis
4.5x-63.6%Mex$99.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FIBRAPL 14 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.5x) compared to the peer average (5.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FIBRAPL 14's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Industrial REITs Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FIBRAPL 14 4.5xIndustry Avg. 20.0xNo. of Companies10PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FIBRAPL 14 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.5x) compared to the Global Industrial REITs industry average (20.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FIBRAPL 14's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FIBRAPL 14 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.5x
Fair PE Ratio4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FIBRAPL 14 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FIBRAPL 14 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$62.97
Mex$76.59
+21.6%
10.1%Mex$90.00Mex$57.90n/a12
Nov ’25Mex$66.90
Mex$76.59
+14.5%
10.1%Mex$90.00Mex$57.90n/a12
Oct ’25Mex$64.41
Mex$76.57
+18.9%
10.6%Mex$90.00Mex$57.90n/a11
Sep ’25Mex$62.73
Mex$75.15
+19.8%
10.1%Mex$86.00Mex$57.90n/a9
Aug ’25Mex$62.23
Mex$75.15
+20.8%
10.1%Mex$86.00Mex$57.90n/a9
Jul ’25Mex$60.79
Mex$76.37
+25.6%
9.9%Mex$86.00Mex$57.90n/a9
Jun ’25Mex$69.05
Mex$77.74
+12.6%
9.6%Mex$86.00Mex$57.90n/a10
May ’25Mex$67.56
Mex$80.39
+19.0%
4.3%Mex$86.00Mex$75.00n/a9
Apr ’25Mex$72.11
Mex$79.36
+10.1%
6.0%Mex$86.00Mex$70.00n/a10
Mar ’25Mex$75.80
Mex$78.94
+4.1%
6.1%Mex$86.00Mex$70.00n/a11
Feb ’25Mex$70.14
Mex$77.78
+10.9%
6.7%Mex$86.00Mex$70.00n/a12
Jan ’25Mex$80.75
Mex$73.79
-8.6%
5.8%Mex$81.00Mex$65.00n/a12
Dec ’24Mex$75.25
Mex$71.88
-4.5%
6.3%Mex$79.50Mex$63.00n/a12
Nov ’24Mex$64.58
Mex$71.33
+10.5%
5.5%Mex$78.00Mex$63.00Mex$66.9012
Oct ’24Mex$59.95
Mex$70.17
+17.0%
5.5%Mex$78.00Mex$63.00Mex$64.4112
Sep ’24Mex$60.09
Mex$69.23
+15.2%
6.0%Mex$78.00Mex$62.00Mex$62.7313
Aug ’24Mex$62.50
Mex$69.31
+10.9%
5.7%Mex$78.00Mex$62.00Mex$62.2313
Jul ’24Mex$63.60
Mex$69.02
+8.5%
6.5%Mex$77.20Mex$60.00Mex$60.7913
Jun ’24Mex$59.81
Mex$69.60
+16.4%
6.5%Mex$77.20Mex$60.00Mex$69.0512
May ’24Mex$62.11
Mex$68.60
+10.4%
7.3%Mex$77.20Mex$60.00Mex$67.5612
Apr ’24Mex$65.21
Mex$65.92
+1.1%
4.9%Mex$72.00Mex$60.00Mex$72.1113
Mar ’24Mex$67.08
Mex$64.61
-3.7%
5.5%Mex$72.00Mex$58.00Mex$75.8013
Feb ’24Mex$63.08
Mex$64.15
+1.7%
4.5%Mex$68.00Mex$58.00Mex$70.1413
Jan ’24Mex$55.83
Mex$62.31
+11.6%
4.8%Mex$67.20Mex$58.00Mex$80.7513
Dec ’23Mex$59.12
Mex$61.01
+3.2%
6.1%Mex$67.00Mex$51.86Mex$75.2513
Nov ’23Mex$51.82
Mex$61.01
+17.7%
5.5%Mex$65.00Mex$51.86Mex$64.5813

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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