FIBRA Terrafina Valuation

Is TERRA 13 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TERRA 13 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
Mex$4.27
Fair Value
774.8% overvalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: TERRA 13 (MX$37.33) is trading above our estimate of fair value (MX$4.27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TERRA 13 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TERRA 13?

Key metric: As TERRA 13 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TERRA 13. This is calculated by dividing TERRA 13's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TERRA 13's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.1x
EarningsMex$3.62b
Market CapMex$28.66b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TERRA 13's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TERRA 13 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.5x
FIBRAMQ 12 FIBRA Macquarie México
2.4x-58.8%Mex$25.8b
FMTY 14 Fibra MtyP.I. de
5.1x-24.3%Mex$26.0b
FIBRAPL 14 FIBRA Prologis
4.6x-60.3%Mex$99.9b
DANHOS 13 Fibra Danhos
9.8x7.8%Mex$33.6b
TERRA 13 FIBRA Terrafina
8.1x-9.8%Mex$28.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TERRA 13 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.1x) compared to the peer average (5.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TERRA 13's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Industrial REITs Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TERRA 13 8.1xIndustry Avg. 19.0xNo. of Companies9PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TERRA 13 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.1x) compared to the Global Industrial REITs industry average (19x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TERRA 13's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TERRA 13 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.1x
Fair PE Ratio6.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TERRA 13 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TERRA 13 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentMex$37.33
Mex$40.04
+7.3%
8.9%Mex$44.93Mex$35.37n/a6
Jan ’26Mex$36.31
Mex$42.33
+16.6%
12.3%Mex$50.91Mex$35.02n/a8
Dec ’25Mex$35.13
Mex$43.92
+25.0%
10.5%Mex$52.00Mex$37.30n/a8
Nov ’25Mex$37.29
Mex$43.91
+17.8%
10.4%Mex$51.14Mex$36.68n/a8
Oct ’25Mex$37.94
Mex$45.05
+18.7%
8.3%Mex$49.52Mex$37.81n/a8
Sep ’25Mex$37.61
Mex$44.39
+18.0%
5.1%Mex$47.04Mex$39.87n/a7
Aug ’25Mex$39.16
Mex$45.25
+15.6%
6.2%Mex$49.26Mex$40.13n/a7
Jul ’25Mex$38.54
Mex$45.40
+17.8%
6.3%Mex$48.57Mex$39.56n/a7
Jun ’25Mex$38.23
Mex$40.30
+5.4%
11.2%Mex$45.18Mex$32.21n/a9
May ’25Mex$42.12
Mex$39.42
-6.4%
11.4%Mex$44.71Mex$32.25n/a8
Apr ’25Mex$45.26
Mex$37.32
-17.5%
11.2%Mex$42.94Mex$31.62n/a9
Mar ’25Mex$40.99
Mex$37.67
-8.1%
13.1%Mex$43.99Mex$30.37n/a9
Feb ’25Mex$37.47
Mex$37.11
-1.0%
12.6%Mex$45.33Mex$30.55Mex$37.3310
Jan ’25Mex$36.13
Mex$35.90
-0.6%
9.5%Mex$42.32Mex$31.03Mex$36.3110
Dec ’24Mex$31.38
Mex$35.72
+13.8%
9.2%Mex$41.92Mex$30.74Mex$35.1310
Nov ’24Mex$30.09
Mex$37.38
+24.2%
9.8%Mex$44.99Mex$32.06Mex$37.2910
Oct ’24Mex$30.90
Mex$36.74
+18.9%
10.0%Mex$42.59Mex$30.45Mex$37.9410
Sep ’24Mex$32.23
Mex$36.23
+12.4%
10.2%Mex$41.77Mex$29.87Mex$37.6110
Aug ’24Mex$33.32
Mex$36.05
+8.2%
10.9%Mex$42.02Mex$30.05Mex$39.1610
Jul ’24Mex$32.85
Mex$35.25
+7.3%
9.5%Mex$39.82Mex$28.45Mex$38.5410
Jun ’24Mex$32.14
Mex$35.34
+10.0%
10.3%Mex$41.10Mex$29.36Mex$38.2310
May ’24Mex$33.70
Mex$36.03
+6.9%
10.4%Mex$41.93Mex$29.95Mex$42.1210
Apr ’24Mex$33.25
Mex$34.27
+3.1%
9.0%Mex$40.03Mex$29.30Mex$45.2610
Mar ’24Mex$33.67
Mex$34.36
+2.0%
9.4%Mex$40.98Mex$29.99Mex$40.9910
Feb ’24Mex$33.30
Mex$34.15
+2.6%
7.0%Mex$37.73Mex$30.05Mex$37.4710
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
Mex$40.04
Fair Value
6.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/31 02:38
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/31 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

FIBRA Terrafina is covered by 17 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Pablo Monsivais MendozaBarclays
Carlos PeyrelongueBofA Global Research
Rodolfo Ramos CevallosBradesco S.A. Corretora de Títulos e Valores Mobiliários