Innovative Industrial Properties, Inc.

DB:1IK Stock Report

Market Cap: €2.9b

Innovative Industrial Properties Valuation

Is 1IK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1IK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1IK (€102.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€220.71)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1IK is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1IK?

Key metric: As 1IK is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1IK. This is calculated by dividing 1IK's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1IK's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19x
EarningsUS$159.63m
Market CapUS$3.03b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1IK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1IK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average60.7x
GRT.UN Granite Real Estate Investment Trust
15.1x7.2%CA$4.6b
DIR.UN Dream Industrial Real Estate Investment Trust
24.7x29.7%CA$3.7b
HABA Hamborner REIT
63x11.0%€515.7m
LXP LXP Industrial Trust
140x-95.5%US$2.7b
1IK Innovative Industrial Properties
19x2.3%€3.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1IK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19x) compared to the peer average (52.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1IK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Industrial REITs Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1IK 19.0xIndustry Avg. 20.1xNo. of Companies10PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1IK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19x) compared to the Global Industrial REITs industry average (20.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1IK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1IK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 1IK's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1IK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€102.90
€128.62
+25.0%
17.3%€170.03€109.24n/a5
Nov ’25€118.25
€124.24
+5.1%
17.1%€163.77€105.21n/a5
Oct ’25€120.90
€124.24
+2.8%
17.1%€163.77€105.21n/a5
Sep ’25€111.30
€124.24
+11.6%
17.1%€163.77€105.21n/a5
Aug ’25€113.10
€120.15
+6.2%
20.3%€164.43€101.05n/a5
Jul ’25€100.50
€115.70
+15.1%
21.2%€164.63€101.17n/a5
Jun ’25€98.34
€115.70
+17.7%
21.2%€164.63€101.17n/a5
May ’25€91.68
€113.55
+23.8%
24.1%€167.42€93.53n/a5
Apr ’25€96.60
€110.89
+14.8%
24.1%€163.50€91.34n/a5
Mar ’25€90.60
€108.34
+19.6%
28.2%€165.18€73.82n/a5
Feb ’25€86.00
€99.09
+15.2%
34.4%€164.54€73.54n/a5
Jan ’25€92.50
€99.09
+7.1%
34.4%€164.54€73.54n/a5
Dec ’24€74.45
€100.73
+35.3%
34.4%€167.26€74.75n/a5
Nov ’24€68.30
€102.81
+50.5%
33.8%€169.14€75.59€118.255
Oct ’24€69.95
€101.48
+45.1%
33.8%€166.95€74.62€120.905
Sep ’24€80.30
€100.35
+25.0%
33.2%€163.59€73.11€111.305
Aug ’24€71.70
€102.34
+42.7%
33.2%€166.85€74.57€113.105
Jul ’24€67.15
€102.34
+52.4%
33.2%€166.85€74.57€100.505
Jun ’24€61.90
€102.34
+65.3%
33.2%€166.85€74.57€98.345
May ’24€61.50
€122.48
+99.2%
20.2%€163.37€88.53€91.685
Apr ’24€69.36
€130.18
+87.7%
15.7%€167.88€112.55€96.605
Mar ’24€79.42
€130.18
+63.9%
15.7%€167.88€112.55€90.605
Feb ’24€81.34
€134.12
+64.9%
12.3%€164.66€114.99€86.005
Jan ’24€94.22
€158.77
+68.5%
12.6%€192.30€137.35€92.506
Dec ’23€115.55
€158.77
+37.4%
12.6%€192.30€137.35€74.456
Nov ’23€111.60
€159.36
+42.8%
19.2%€196.65€117.39€68.306

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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