Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that InCity Immobilien AG (ETR:IC8) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for InCity Immobilien
How Much Debt Does InCity Immobilien Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that InCity Immobilien had debt of €92.3m at the end of June 2020, a reduction from €98.7m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of €17.2m, its net debt is less, at about €75.2m.
How Healthy Is InCity Immobilien's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that InCity Immobilien had liabilities of €7.70m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €90.3m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €17.2m as well as receivables valued at €3.44m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €77.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of €97.1m. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
InCity Immobilien shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (33.8), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.52 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Investors should also be troubled by the fact that InCity Immobilien saw its EBIT drop by 20% over the last twelve months. If that's the way things keep going handling the debt load will be like delivering hot coffees on a pogo stick. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is InCity Immobilien's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last two years, InCity Immobilien burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
On the face of it, InCity Immobilien's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And even its EBIT growth rate fails to inspire much confidence. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like InCity Immobilien has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Take risks, for example - InCity Immobilien has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
If you decide to trade InCity Immobilien, use the lowest-cost* platform that is rated #1 Overall by Barron’s, Interactive Brokers. Trade stocks, options, futures, forex, bonds and funds on 135 markets, all from a single integrated account. Promoted
New: AI Stock Screener & Alerts
Our new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.
• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)
• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying
• High growth Tech and AI Companies
Or build your own from over 50 metrics.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
*Interactive Brokers Rated Lowest Cost Broker by StockBrokers.com Annual Online Review 2020
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com.
About XTRA:IC8
InCity Immobilien
Operates as a multi-disciplinary real estate company in the metropolitan regions of Germany.
Mediocre balance sheet and slightly overvalued.